Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadium MK (Milton Keynes).

League Two - Round 23
Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.24	1.16
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
10	12
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
1	5
Passes
72% (273/381)	69% (205/298)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24	1.16
xG on target (xGOT)
0.95	0.34
Total shots
10	12
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
6	6
Blocked Shots
1	3
Shots inside the Box
5	4
Shots outside the Box
5	8
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
1	5
Touches in opposition box
10	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	1
Free Kicks
14	15
Passes
72% (273/381)	69% (205/298)
Long passes
24% (18/75)	30% (19/64)
Passes in final third
41% (45/110)	54% (45/83)
Crosses
25% (2/8)	11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.49	0.49
Throw-ins
33	19
Fouls
15	14
Tackles
83% (15/18)	67% (6/9)
Duels won
44	40
Clearances
30	26
Interceptions
7	9
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.34	0.95
Goals prevented
-0.66	-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Thompson-Sommers K. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Iorpenda T. ⚽, Tsaroulla N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nemane A. ↓, Jones G. ↑,
46', Collins A. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
46', Thompson-Sommers K. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
54', Gilbey A. 🟨,
61', Kouhyar Q. ↓, Gordon K. ↑,
67', Dennis M. 🟨,
67', Kelly L. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Paterson C. ⚽,
78', Dennis M. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
82', Hall T. 🟨,
90', Roos K. 🟨,
90+1', Hall T. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
90+1', Macari L. ↓, Ness L. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Milton Keynes Dons
51%

Draw
26.3%

Notts County
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

26.6%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

25.3%

25.9%

Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.98)	3.53 ↑ (3.45)	4.11 ↑ (3.38)	7.2% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Milton Keynes Dons will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milton Keynes Dons will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 0.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
In this match, MK Dons is a strong favorite.
There will not play in MK Dons: Mendez-Laing N. (Inactive) Tomlinson J. (Inactive) Wilson K. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Notts County: Luker J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in MK Dons: Hogan S. (Inactive) Maguire L. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Notts County: Palmer M. (Inactive) Robertson S. (Inactive)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.7:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Notts County?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Notts County has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County were as follows:

09.12.2025 Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons 3:2

02.04.2025 Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons 3:0

26.12.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County 0:2

01.04.2024 Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons 3:3

09.09.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County 1:1

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

26.12.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town 1:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Harrogate Town - Milton Keynes Dons 0:4 ✺

13.12.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Cambridge United 1:1 ✺

09.12.2025 Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons 3:2 ✺

06.12.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Oldham Athletic 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Notts County

26.12.2025 Chesterfield - Notts County 2:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Notts County - Walsall 0:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Grimsby Town - Notts County 0:2 ✺

09.12.2025 Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons 3:2 ✺

29.11.2025 Bristol Rovers - Notts County 0:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	30	18	8	4	54:32	22	62
2	Notts Co	30	17	6	7	46:30	16	57
3	Cambridge Utd	30	16	8	6	42:24	18	56
4	Swindon	30	17	4	9	50:34	16	55
5	MK Dons	30	15	9	6	59:33	26	54
6	Salford	29	16	4	9	41:35	6	52
7	Walsall	30	14	7	9	38:31	7	49
8	Chesterfield	30	12	12	6	49:41	8	48
9	Crewe	31	13	8	10	47:38	9	47
10	Barnet	30	12	10	8	40:31	9	46
11	Colchester	29	12	9	8	43:31	12	45
12	Grimsby	29	12	9	8	41:32	9	45
13	Accrington	29	12	7	10	35:30	5	43
14	Gillingham	29	10	11	8	40:36	4	41
15	Fleetwood	29	10	7	12	38:39	-1	37
16	Oldham	28	8	11	9	28:29	-1	35
17	Tranmere	30	8	8	14	43:51	-8	32
18	Cheltenham	29	9	3	17	29:51	-22	30
19	Bristol Rovers	30	8	3	19	28:50	-22	27
20	Crawley	31	6	8	17	32:51	-19	26
21	Shrewsbury	30	6	8	16	25:50	-25	26
22	Barrow	29	6	6	17	30:46	-16	24
23	Newport	29	5	6	18	29:54	-25	21
24	Harrogate	31	5	6	20	22:50	-28	21

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League