Result
1:1
02/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 46
- Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.19 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (392/472) | 73% (231/317) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (392/472) | 73% (231/317) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (18/41) | 46% (36/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (103/139) | 57% (69/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Tsaroulla N. 🟨,
- 20', Forde S. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, Tsaroulla N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', De Havilland R. ↓, Akhamrich Y. ↑,
- 46', Omochere P. ↓, Leigh T. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 1, Harrison E. ⚽, Leigh T. (A),
- 58', Norburn O. ↓, Palmer M. ↑,
- 59', Luker J. ↓, Robertson S. ↑,
- 59', Grant C. ↓, Hall T. ↑,
- 65', Mola C. 🟨,
- 71', Jatta A. 🟨,
- 72', Mola C. ↓, Howley R. ↑,
- 73', Jones J. ↓, Ndlovu L. ↑,
- 73', Jatta A. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
- 75', Palmer M. 🟨,
- 77', Akhamrich Y. 🟨,
- 79', Harrison E. ↓, Quigley J. ↑,
- 79', Forde S. ↓, Cavegn F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Notts County
55.2% | Draw
22.7% | Bristol Rovers
22% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Notts County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Notts County - Bristol Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.63) |
4.09 ↓
(4.2) |
4.27 ↓
(4.5) |
7%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Notts County - Bristol Rovers?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 35.9% – 97.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Notts County (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).
- In recent matches, Notts County has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bristol Rovers is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, Notts County is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Southam-Hales M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Notts County: Platt M.
(Inactive)
Tangen H.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Kilgour A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Bristol Rovers?
Notts County has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Notts County?
Bristol Rovers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Bristol Rovers were as follows:
29.11.2025
Bristol Rovers
-
Notts County
0:1
Latest results of Notts County
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
