Oldham Athletic vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Boundary Park (Oldham).

League Two - Round 42
Referee: Copeland S. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.79	0.98
Ball possession
59%	41%
Total shots
13	9
Shots on target
4	2
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
8	2
Passes
62% (259/416)	52% (151/289)
Yellow cards
0	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.79	0.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.48	0.98
Total shots
13	9
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked shots
5	3
Shots inside the box
6	8
Shots outside the box
7	1
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	1
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
8	2
Touches in opposition box
14	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	4
Free kicks
9	10
Passes
62% (259/416)	52% (151/289)
Long passes
32% (32/99)	22% (21/97)
Passes in final third
53% (90/170)	41% (55/135)
Crosses
21% (6/28)	23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.94	1.14
Throw ins
39	26
Fouls
10	9
Tackles
58% (11/19)	44% (4/9)
Duels won
72	59
Clearances
25	49
Interceptions
9	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.98	0.48
Goals prevented
-0.02	-0.52

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Ekpiteta M. ⚽, Nelson C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Taylor K. ↓, Hawkes J. ↑,
56', Kavanagh C. ↓, Garner J. ↑,
64', Collins A. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
65', Gilbey A. 🟨,
72', Nelson C. 🟨,
74', Kelly L. ↓, Mendez-Laing N. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Fondop-Talum M. ⚽, Hawkes J. (A),
85', Pett T. ↓, Payne K. ↑,
85', Drummond K. ↓, Hammond O. ↑,
90', Jones G. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
90', Nemane A. ↓, Tomlinson J. ↑,

Chances of winning

Oldham Athletic
33.6%

Draw
29.2%

Milton Keynes Dons
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

28.1%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

28.4%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Oldham Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.9)	3.18 ↓ (3.25)	2.51 ↑ (2.27)	7.2% (9.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Oldham Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 1 - 25%). MK Dons will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 1.
Oldham is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, MK Dons has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
MK Dons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T. (Knee Injury) Mellon M. (Inactive)
There will not play in MK Dons: Wilson K. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Oldham: Caprice J. (Injury) Ogle R. (Inactive)
There are questionable in MK Dons: Collar W. (Hamstring Injury) Lemonheigh-Evans C. (Inactive) Maguire L. (Inactive) Matete J. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:29. (average 0.9:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Oldham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Oldham Athletic won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Oldham Athletic has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Oldham Athletic?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Oldham Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:

06.12.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Oldham Athletic 3:1

02.08.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Oldham Athletic 0:0

Latest results of Oldham Athletic

03.04.2026 Colchester United - Oldham Athletic 1:3 ✺

28.03.2026 Crewe Alexandra - Oldham Athletic 2:1 ✺

24.03.2026 Oldham Athletic - Notts County 3:0 ✺

21.03.2026 Oldham Athletic - Harrogate Town 1:0 ✺

17.03.2026 Chesterfield - Oldham Athletic 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

03.04.2026 Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow 0:0 ✺

28.03.2026 Salford City - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0 ✺

21.03.2026 Milton Keynes Dons - Barnet 1:3 ✺

18.03.2026 Milton Keynes Dons - Colchester United 1:0 ✺

14.03.2026 Swindon Town - Milton Keynes Dons 1:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	MK Dons ✔	45	24	13	8	85:44	41	85
2	Bromley ✔	45	23	15	7	68:45	23	84
3	Cambridge Utd	45	22	15	8	66:33	33	81
4	Salford	45	25	5	15	61:51	10	80
5	Notts Co	45	24	7	14	73:51	22	79
6	Grimsby	45	22	11	12	73:49	24	77
7	Chesterfield	45	20	16	9	69:55	14	76
8	Swindon	45	22	9	14	69:57	12	75
9	Barnet	45	20	13	12	68:52	16	73
10	Crewe	45	19	9	17	64:58	6	66
11	Oldham	45	17	14	14	57:44	13	65
12	Walsall	45	18	11	16	55:53	2	65
13	Colchester	45	17	12	16	58:48	10	63
14	Bristol Rovers	45	19	4	22	55:64	-9	61
15	Fleetwood	45	15	15	15	56:57	-1	60
16	Accrington	45	14	11	20	47:55	-8	53
17	Cheltenham	45	14	10	21	52:75	-23	52
18	Gillingham	45	12	14	19	52:72	-20	50
19	Shrewsbury	45	13	10	22	42:68	-26	49
20	Tranmere	45	10	10	25	53:78	-25	40
21	Newport	45	11	7	27	46:76	-30	40
22	Crawley	45	8	15	22	44:68	-24	39
23	Harrogate	45	10	9	26	38:66	-28	39
24	Barrow	45	9	9	27	44:76	-32	36

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Clinched Spots for Teams

MK Dons is Qualified for League One
Bromley is Qualified for League One