Estudiantes de Caseros vs Deportivo Maipú – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
12/10/2025 at 16:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports, TyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
712
Shots on target
37
Corner Kicks
15
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
712
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
45
Corner Kicks
15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Berterame G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Villarreal M. , Sambueza R. ,
  • 46', Correa J. , Rodriguez R. ,
  • 51', Saccone F. 🟨,
  • 58', Caceres F. 🟨,
  • 63', Brinone S. , Acosta E. ,
  • 63', Squie T. , Rostagno D. ,
  • 71', de la Reta J. , Silva T. ,
  • 77', Berterame G. , Lusnig L. ,
  • 80', Quinteros F. , Ramirez S. ,
  • 84', Minervino D. 🟨,
  • 87', Saccone F. , Sanchez J. M. ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Estudiantes de Caseros
64.8%
Draw
24.8%
Deportivo Maipú
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 28.5% 18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5% 26.9% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes de Caseros's performance.
  • Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Maipú might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estudiantes de Caseros that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Maipú could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Maipú Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.72)
    4.14
    (3.22)
    10.38
    (5.05)
    0.1%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Maipú?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Deportivo Maipú (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Maipú (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes won 2.
    • CA Estudiantes is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Deportivo Maipú has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • CA Estudiantes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, CA Estudiantes is the team to beat.
    • We predict that CA Estudiantes will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, CA Estudiantes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Maipú were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Maipú 2:1
    09.06.2024 Deportivo Maipú - Estudiantes de Caseros 1:0
    10.09.2023 Deportivo Maipú - Estudiantes de Caseros 2:0
    Latest results of Estudiantes de Caseros
    Latest results of Deportivo Maipú
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Moron532010:4611
    2Racing Cordoba53115:5010
    3Def. de Belgrano52305:239
    4Acassuso53028:629
    5San Miguel52216:428
    6Almirante Brown52214:318
    7Colon Santa Fe52215:508
    8Godoy Cruz51405:417
    9All Boys52124:407
    10Los Andes51313:216
    11CA Mitre51313:306
    12Deportivo Madryn51225:415
    13Ciudad Bolivar50503:305
    14San Telmo51228:9-15
    15Ferro51225:6-15
    16Central Norte51221:3-25
    17Chaco For Ever50235:10-52
    18CA Estudiantes50050:8-80


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nueva Chicago53116:3310
    2Gimnasia y Tiro53117:5210
    3Atl. Rafaela53114:2210
    4Tristan Suarez52306:249
    5San Martin T52306:339
    6Gimnasia Jujuy53026:8-29
    7Midland52215:328
    8Temperley52213:218
    9Atletico Atlanta52125:417
    10Agropecuario52125:507
    11San Martin S.J51225:6-15
    12Club A. Guemes51225:6-15
    13Patronato51223:5-25
    14Almagro51222:4-25
    15Quilmes51133:304
    16Chacarita Juniors51135:7-24
    17Deportivo Maipu51136:9-34
    18Colegiales51043:8-53

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          Relegation