Result
2:1
26/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 33
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Sanchez A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 64', 1 - 1, Herrero A. ⚽,
- 90+7', 2 - 1, Scepovic S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Estepona 35.4% | Draw 30.2% | Águilas 34.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Estepona - Águilas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.57 ↑ (2.42) |
3.01 ↑ (3) |
2.64 ↓ (3.03) |
10.1% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- Estepona is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Águilas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Estepona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estepona won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estepona won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Estepona won against Águilas?
Estepona has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Águilas won against Estepona?
Águilas has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estepona - Águilas were as follows:
23.11.2025
Águilas
-
Estepona
2:1
23.02.2025
Estepona
-
Águilas
3:1
13.10.2024
Águilas
-
Estepona
0:0
21.01.2024
Águilas
-
Estepona
1:0
10.09.2023
Estepona
-
Águilas
2:1
Latest results of Estepona
Latest results of Águilas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 54:38 | 16 | 63 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 50:33 | 17 | 63 |
| 3 | Aguilas FC | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 45:25 | 20 | 61 |
| 4 | Xerez CD | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 32:24 | 8 | 59 |
| 5 | Jaen | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 43:33 | 10 | 58 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 41:25 | 16 | 57 |
| 7 | UCAM Murcia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49:41 | 8 | 55 |
| 8 | Linares | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42:45 | -3 | 47 |
| 9 | La Union | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:43 | 1 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Yeclano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 33:33 | 0 | 44 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:40 | -2 | 44 |
| 13 | CD Estepona | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:44 | -4 | 44 |
| 14 | Puente Genil | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28:37 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 | Xerez D.F.C | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 34:43 | -9 | 36 |
| 16 | Melilla | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 17 | Almeria B | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 26:53 | -27 | 21 |
| 18 | Malaga B | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 32:66 | -34 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation