Phoenix Rising vs Detroit City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/04/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Wild Horse Pass Stadium (Chandler, AZ).

USL Championship
Referee: Simon N. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.06	1.51
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
11	16
Shots on target
3	5
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	8
Passes
83% (344/412)	85% (311/365)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06	1.51
xG on target (xGOT)
1.68	1.05
Total shots
11	16
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
6	7
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
7	6
Shots outside the Box
4	10
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	8
Touches in opposition box
19	23
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
16	13
Passes
83% (344/412)	85% (311/365)
Long passes
46% (26/57)	62% (28/45)
Passes in final third
70% (52/74)	79% (84/106)
Crosses
38% (3/8)	19% (5/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.34	1.55
Fouls
13	16
Tackles
60% (9/15)	86% (6/7)
Duels won
42	34
Clearances Total
24	12
Interceptions
8	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
1.05	1.68
Goals prevented
-1.95	-0.32

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Williams R. 🟨,
15', Okello N. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Smith C. ⚽, Margaritha J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', Margaritha J. 🟨,
57', Sainte C. F. ↓, Scearce J. ↑,
57', Montgomery B. ↓, Walls C. ↑,
59', Rutz C. ↓, Morris B. ↑,
60', Adebayo-Smith J. ↓, Smith D. ↑,
69', Cabral R. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
69', Margaritha J. ↓, Rivera D. ↑,
71', Villanueva A. ↓, Doner M. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Avayevu H. ⚽, Johnson D. (A),
79', Avayevu H. ↓, Formella D. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Smith D. ⚽, Williams R. (A),
89', 2 - 2, Smith D. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 3, Cedeno J. ⚽, Chapman J. (A),
90+3', Cedeno J. ↓, Wiedt S. ↑,

Official Live

Chances of winning

Phoenix Rising
40.9%

Draw
28.9%

Detroit City
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

26.2%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

27.1%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Phoenix Rising's form might have worsened.

Detroit City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Detroit City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Phoenix Rising, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Detroit City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Phoenix Rising - Detroit City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.79)	3.18 ↓ (3.53)	3.05 ↓ (4.21)	8.6% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
Two teams are playing changeable.
Phoenix Rising will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Phoenix Rising won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 3:0.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Phoenix Rising won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0

How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Rising won against Detroit City?

Phoenix Rising has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Detroit City won against Phoenix Rising?

Detroit City has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Rising - Detroit City were as follows:

11.05.2024 Detroit City - Phoenix Rising 1:1

16.09.2023 Phoenix Rising - Detroit City 5:0

Latest results of Phoenix Rising

06.04.2025 San Antonio - Phoenix Rising 1:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Monterey Bay - Phoenix Rising 3:1 ✺

22.03.2025 Phoenix Rising - Rhode Island 2:2 ✺

15.03.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising 4:4 ✺

08.03.2025 Phoenix Rising - Tulsa 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Detroit City

05.04.2025 Detroit City - Monterey Bay 0:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Louisville City - Detroit City 2:0 ✺

22.03.2025 Detroit City - Birmingham Legion 2:2 ✺

15.03.2025 Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Detroit City 1:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Miami - Detroit City 0:2 ✺

USL Championship Table

2025

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City ✔	27	20	6	1	54:19	35	66
2	Charleston ✔	26	17	4	5	54:29	25	55
3	North Carolina	27	12	5	10	39:37	2	41
4	Loudoun	27	11	6	10	43:45	-2	39
5	Hartford Athletic	26	11	5	10	40:29	11	38
6	Pittsburgh	27	10	7	10	27:27	0	37
7	Detroit	27	9	8	10	31:32	-1	35
8	Indy Eleven	27	9	5	13	40:47	-7	32
9	Rhode Island	26	8	7	11	20:26	-6	31
10	Tampa Bay	27	8	6	13	39:42	-3	30
11	Birmingham	28	5	12	11	33:45	-12	27
12	Miami FC	27	6	6	15	25:41	-16	24

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa ✔	27	14	8	5	44:29	15	50
2	Sacramento Republic	26	12	8	6	39:21	18	44
3	New Mexico	27	13	4	10	37:34	3	43
4	San Antonio	26	10	7	9	34:32	2	37
5	El Paso	27	9	10	8	42:38	4	37
6	Lexington	27	9	8	10	28:35	-7	35
7	Colorado Springs	27	9	7	11	34:39	-5	34
8	Phoenix Rising	27	7	12	8	45:48	-3	33
9	Orange County SC	26	8	7	11	38:41	-3	31
10	Monterey Bay	28	7	7	14	26:41	-15	28
11	Oakland Roots	26	7	6	13	33:44	-11	27
12	Las Vegas Lights	26	6	7	13	19:43	-24	25

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )