Result
2:1
02/05/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Simon N. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.05 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (211/325) | 63% (207/326) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (211/325) | 63% (207/326) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (20/72) | 43% (28/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (67/111) | 59% (68/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.61 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 39', 1 - 0, Yamazaki H. ⚽,
- 39', Adams K. 🟨,
- 43', Egbuchulam C. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Wilson J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Donovan C. 🟨,
- 51', Diop A. 🟨,
- 61', Cedeno J. ↓, Rutz C. ↑,
- 69', Moguel C. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
- 69', Gleadle S. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 1, Rutz C. ⚽, Diouf A. (A),
- 72', Egbuchulam C. ↓, Morris B. ↑,
- 73', Diop A. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
- 79', Dia A. ↓, Huerman Q. ↑,
- 79', Serrano R. ↓, Showunmi T. ↑,
- 82', Hernandez-Foster K. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
- 86', Duncan Z. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
- 90+1', Montgomery C. ↓, Hope-Gund R. ↑,
- 90+2', Wilson J. ↓, Akale M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Detroit City
28% | Draw
28.9% | Louisville City
43.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Detroit City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Detroit City - Louisville City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.28 ↑
(3) |
3.17 ↑
(3.08) |
2.13 ↓
(2.33) |
9%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Detroit City won 2.
- Recent performances by Detroit City have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Louisville City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Louisville City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Louisville City might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Detroit City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Detroit City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Detroit City won against Louisville City?
Detroit City has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against Detroit City?
Louisville City has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Detroit City - Louisville City were as follows:
01.11.2025
Louisville City
-
Detroit City
0:1
27.09.2025
Detroit City
-
Louisville City
0:1
29.03.2025
Louisville City
-
Detroit City
2:0
22.09.2024
Detroit City
-
Louisville City
2:1
29.05.2024
Louisville City
-
Detroit City
5:1
Latest results of Detroit City
Latest results of Louisville City
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Detroit | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Charleston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 5 | Miami FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | Brooklyn | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Loudoun | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | -13 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Antonio | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Orange County SC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | El Paso | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Oakland Roots | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 | New Mexico | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Lexington | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4:15 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
