Austin II vs Minnesota United 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Austin II - Minnesota United 2
Result
2:1 penalties
23/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Austin II - Minnesota United 2 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.771.59
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
84% (349/416)84% (310/368)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.771.59
xG on target (xGOT)
1.831.31
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1923
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1912
Passes
84% (349/416)84% (310/368)
Long passes
36% (17/47)63% (33/52)
Passes in final third
63% (46/73)70% (79/113)
Crosses
15% (2/13)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.890.54
Throw-ins
2516
Fouls
1219
Tackles
46% (6/13)83% (10/12)
Duels won
4637
Clearances
1722
Interceptions
515
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.311.83
Goals prevented
0.310.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', Kabia A. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Grogan P. , Burton M. (A),
  • 29', Farkarlun B. 🟨,
  • 42', Ciesla D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', Burton M. , Badawiya M. ,
  • 60', Torres E. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 61', Farkarlun B. , Abarca D. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Randell A. ,
  • 66', Randell A. 🟨,
  • 66', Kabia A. , Schumacher B. ,
  • 66', Putt T. , Saidi I. ,
  • 67', Schumacher B. 🟨,
  • 72', Grogan P. , Danciutiu V. ,
  • 78', Gonzalez A. , Avila C. ,
  • 78', Martinez A. , Casillas-Lopez C. ,
  • 80', Djakaria B. 🟨,
  • 83', Farris J. 🟨,
  • Penalties (4 - 2)
  • 1, Mesanvi L. (Pen),
  • 1, Bonachera R. (Pen),
  • 2, Saidi I. (Pen),
  • 2, Alastuey J. (Pen),
  • 3, Niang B. (Pen),
  • 3, Ciesla D. (Pen),
  • 4, Farris J. (Pen),
  • 4, Gomez A. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Austin II
40.8%
Draw
24.4%
Minnesota United 2
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.1% 26.7% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 26.6% 38.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Austin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Austin II's performance.
  • Minnesota United 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Austin II that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Austin II - Minnesota United 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.62)
    3.77
    (3.44)
    2.65
    (2.41)
    8.7%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Austin II - Minnesota United 2?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Austin II (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin II won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Minnesota 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Austin II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Austin II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Austin II - Minnesota United 2 were as follows:
    14.03.2025 Austin II - Minnesota United 2 0:1
    08.09.2024 Minnesota United 2 - Austin II 3:2
    28.08.2024 Austin II - Minnesota United 2 2:1
    18.07.2024 Minnesota United 2 - Austin II 3:2
    10.09.2023 Minnesota United 2 - Austin II 2:1
    Latest results of Austin II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2151012238:2634
    2Philadelphia Union II13642128:1128
    3Chicago Fire II14622427:2424
    4Toronto FC II14603516:1821
    5New York City II15522628:3121
    6New England Revolution II13441419:1721
    7Cincinnati 214250713:2116
    8Columbus Crew 213312713:2413


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga15822324:2030
    2Huntsville13532327:1623
    3Orlando City B15611721:2721
    4Crown Legacy14333521:2518
    5Carolina Core14324519:1917
    6Inter Miami II15402923:3414
    7Atlanta United 213224519:2314


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County15911429:2230
    2Real Monarchs12523224:1922
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 215530733:3021
    4Tacoma Defiance13610630:2820
    5Town FC12521424:1420
    6Los Angeles FC II14511722:2718
    7Portland Timbers 214412722:3116


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2151010429:2132
    2Colorado Rapids 216703626:2524
    3North Texas15621625:3023
    4Houston Dynamo 215531621:2122
    5Austin FC II14433413:1521
    6Minnesota 213602522:1720
    7Sporting Kansas City II1301399:295


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2151012238:2634
    2Chattanooga15822324:2030
    3Philadelphia Union II13642128:1128
    4Chicago Fire II14622427:2424
    5Huntsville13532327:1623
    6Toronto FC II14603516:1821
    7Orlando City B15611721:2721
    8New York City II15522628:3121
    9New England Revolution II13441419:1721
    10Crown Legacy14333521:2518
    11Carolina Core14324519:1917
    12Cincinnati 214250713:2116
    13Inter Miami II15402923:3414
    14Atlanta United 213224519:2314
    15Columbus Crew 213312713:2413


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2151010429:2132
    2Ventura County15911429:2230
    3Colorado Rapids 216703626:2524
    4North Texas15621625:3023
    5Real Monarchs12523224:1922
    6Houston Dynamo 215531621:2122
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 215530733:3021
    8Austin FC II14433413:1521
    9Minnesota 213602522:1720
    10Tacoma Defiance13610630:2820
    11Town FC12521424:1420
    12Los Angeles FC II14511722:2718
    13Portland Timbers 214412722:3116
    14Sporting Kansas City II1301399:295

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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