Result
 
                    2:3
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        10/05/2024 at  14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  ITALY: Serie B - Round 38
 
                                                - Referee: Collu G. (Ita)
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.49 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 50% | 50% | 
| Goal Attempts | 
|---|
| 7 | 10 | 
| Shots on Goal | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Shots off Goal | 
|---|
| 1 | 5 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 13 | 16 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 25 | 19 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 7 | 7 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Total Passes | 
|---|
| 256 | 280 | 
| Completed Passes | 
|---|
| 204 | 227 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 5 | 11 | 
| Attacks | 
|---|
| 106 | 99 | 
| Dangerous Attacks | 
|---|
| 79 | 32 | 
| Clearances Completed | 
|---|
| 3 | 7 | 
| Crosses Completed | 
|---|
| 12 | 3 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
 - 2', 0 - 1, Strizzolo L. ⚽, 
 - 22', 1 - 1, Sersanti A. ⚽, 
 - 23', Caporale A. 🟨, 
 - 27', Sersanti A. 🟨, 
 - 29', 1 - 2, Bozhanaj K. ⚽, Palumbo A. (A), 
 - 35', 1 - 3, Strizzolo L. ⚽, Battistella T. (A), 
 - 45', Palumbo A. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (1 - 0)
 - 46', Palumbo A. ↓, Corrado N. ↑, 
 - 46', Inglese R. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑, 
 - 46', Degli Innocenti D. ↓, Crociata G. ↑, 
 - 46', Salomaa H. ↓, Galli G. ↑, 
 - 59', 2 - 3, Buso N. ⚽, Crociata G. (A), 
 - 59', Caporale A. ↓, Guglielmotti D. ↑, 
 - 67', Crociata G. 🟨, 
 - 72', Sersanti A. ↓, Lunetta G. ↑, 
 - 76', Santoro S. 🟨, 
 - 77', Riccio A. ↓, Cauz C. ↑, 
 - 77', Strizzolo L. ↓, Manconi J. ↑, 
 - 85', Gagno R. ↓, Vandelli F. ↑, 
 - 90', Bozhanaj K. ↓, Oliva M. ↑, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Lecco  27.7% | Draw  27.4% | Modena  44.9% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Lecco - Modena Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   3.41 ↓ (3.87) | 
			   3.46 ↓ (3.48) | 
			   2.1 ↑ (1.93) | 
			   5.9% (6.5%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Lecco - Modena?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            13 users predict this event. Lecco will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Modena will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 19.1% – 73.3%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 14). 
 - Lecco is Relegated to 
 - Lecco is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1). 
 - Recent matches Modena is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1). 
 - Modena will have a mini benefit in this match.
 - Last 1 head-to-head matches Lecco won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Lecco won against Modena?
                    
                    
                        
                            Lecco has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Lecco?
                    
                    
                        
                             Modena has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Lecco - Modena were as follows:
                                                        
                                23.09.2023 
                                Modena 
                                - 
                                Lecco 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Modena | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19:6 | 13 | 24 | 
| 2 | Monza | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 23 | 
| 3 | Frosinone | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:9 | 11 | 21 | 
| 4 | Cesena | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 | 
| 5 | Palermo | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 | 
| 6 | Venezia | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17:11 | 6 | 16 | 
| 7 | Avellino | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 16 | 
| 8 | Catanzaro | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 | 
| 9 | Reggiana | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 15 | 
| 10 | Carrarese | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 14 | 
| 11 | Padova | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 | 
| 12 | Juve Stabia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 | 
| 13 | Entella | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 13 | 
| 14 | Bari | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 12 | 
| 15 | Sudtirol | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 11 | 
| 16 | Empoli | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 | 
| 17 | Pescara | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15:23 | -8 | 8 | 
| 18 | Mantova | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:18 | -10 | 8 | 
| 19 | Spezia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 | 
| 20 | Sampdoria | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 7 | 
      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation