Result
2:2
14/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 31
- Referee: Piccinini M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (344/396) | 81% (250/308) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (344/396) | 81% (250/308) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (21/44) | 42% (24/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (74/102) | 59% (63/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 27 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.32 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Pittarello F. ⚽,
- 27', Cassandro T. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 1, Adorni D. ⚽, Cotali M. (A),
- 34', Pontisso S. 🟨,
- 40', 2 - 1, Rispoli F. ⚽, Liberali M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Adorni D. ↓, Tonoli D. ↑,
- 46', Gerli F. 🟨,
- 55', Iemmello P. ↓, Di Francesco F. ↑,
- 63', Cotali M. ↓, Zanimacchia L. ↑,
- 63', Santoro S. ↓, Pyyhtia N. ↑,
- 71', Ambrosino G. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
- 74', Liberali M. ↓, Pompetti M. ↑,
- 74', Favasuli C. ↓, Frosinini R. ↑,
- 78', Gerli F. ↓, Wiafe S. ↑,
- 84', Fellipe Jack ↓, Verrengia B. ↑,
- 85', Pontisso S. ↓, Buglio D. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, Mendes P. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Catanzaro
38.6% | Draw
28.3% | Modena
33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Catanzaro's performance.Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Modena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Catanzaro that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Modena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Catanzaro - Modena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↓
(3.01) |
3.33 ↑
(3.18) |
2.85 ↑
(2.3) |
6.3%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Catanzaro - Modena?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Modena will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 72.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 51.5% – 92.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Modena (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 2.
- Catanzaro is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Modena has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Modena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Catanzaro: Cisse A.
(Injury)
Oudin R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Modena: Defrel G.
(Inactive)
Pyyhtia N.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.7:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Catanzaro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Modena?
Catanzaro has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Catanzaro?
Modena has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Catanzaro - Modena were as follows:
08.12.2025
Modena
-
Catanzaro
1:2
29.03.2025
Modena
-
Catanzaro
2:1
06.10.2024
Catanzaro
-
Modena
2:2
12.04.2024
Modena
-
Catanzaro
1:3
04.11.2023
Catanzaro
-
Modena
1:2
Latest results of Catanzaro
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
