Result
1:1
11/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 34
- Referee: Zanotti A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 1.18 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (205/281) | 76% (243/320) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 1.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (205/281) | 76% (243/320) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (22/52) | 41% (28/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (105/148) | 67% (74/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (4/28) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.88 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.06 | 0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', Casiraghi D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 10', Chichizola L. ↓, Pezzolato M. ↑,
- 21', 0 - 1, Santoro S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Tait F. ↓, Crnigoj D. ↑,
- 46', Masiello A. ↓, Davi F. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Pietrangeli N. ⚽, Veseli F. (A),
- 63', Beyuku G. 🟨,
- 69', Tronchin S. ↓, Frigerio M. R. ↑,
- 69', Mendes P. ↓, Ambrosino G. ↑,
- 69', Massolin Y. ↓, Pyyhtia N. ↑,
- 77', Casiraghi D. ↓, Martini J. ↑,
- 81', Pietrangeli N. 🟨,
- 83', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Zampano F. ↑,
- 83', Beyuku G. ↓, Cotali M. ↑,
- 84', Pecorino E. ↓, Odogwu R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Südtirol-Alto Adige
30.9% | Draw
31% | Modena
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Südtirol-Alto Adige - Modena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↓
(3.06) |
3 ↓
(3.13) |
2.48 ↑
(2.31) |
6.8%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Südtirol-Alto Adige - Modena?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Modena will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Südtirol (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Südtirol (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Südtirol (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Südtirol (2.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Südtirol (3.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Südtirol (5.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Südtirol (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 1.
- Recent form of Südtirol has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Modena has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Südtirol: Coulibaly M.
(Inactive)
Cragno A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Kofler R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Modena: Cauz C.
(Inactive)
Gerli F.
(Yellow Cards)
Sersanti A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Modena: Gliozzi E.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Südtirol won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Modena?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Modena has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Südtirol-Alto Adige - Modena were as follows:
23.11.2025
Modena
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
0:0
29.12.2024
Modena
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
0:0
17.08.2024
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Modena
2:1
27.04.2024
Modena
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
1:0
26.09.2023
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Modena
0:0
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
