Result
1:0
04/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (195/268) | 86% (559/649) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
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| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 13 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 37 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (195/268) | 86% (559/649) |
| Long passes |
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| 31% (17/54) | 46% (29/63) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 67% (66/98) | 66% (84/127) |
| Crosses |
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| 33% (7/21) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
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| 75% (9/12) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
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| 40 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
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| 14 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.13 | 1.60 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.13 | 0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Biasi L. 🟨,
- 72', Walti J. ↓, Sample B. ↑,
- 72', Ahl C. ↓, Jacquesson B. ↑,
- 72', Biasi L. ↓, Etou B. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 0, Mertz R. ⚽,
- 73', Akale M. ↓, Gaines M. ↑,
- 73', Vargas M. ↓, Amang T. ↑,
- 87', Luiz Fernando 🟨,
- 87', Barnes P. 🟨,
- 87', Bailey Z. ↓, Pondeca T. ↑,
- 88', Seymore W. ↓, Gloster C. ↑,
- 88', Mertz R. ↓, Broughton M. ↑,
- 90+3', Williams A. ↓, Bouregy J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
47.9% | Draw
28.4% | New Mexico United
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pittsburgh Riverhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pittsburgh Riverhounds's performance.New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Mexico United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pittsburgh Riverhounds that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New Mexico United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds - New Mexico United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↓
(2.4) |
3.23 ↑
(3.2) |
3.87 ↑
(2.85) |
9%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Riverhounds - New Mexico United?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Pittsburgh has had a series of home games.
- Pittsburgh is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Pittsburgh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Pittsburgh Riverhounds won against New Mexico United?
Pittsburgh Riverhounds has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
New Mexico United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pittsburgh Riverhounds - New Mexico United were as follows:
09.03.2024
New Mexico United
-
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1:0
23.09.2023
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
-
New Mexico United
2:1
Latest results of Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Latest results of New Mexico United
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Detroit | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Charleston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 5 | Miami FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | Brooklyn | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Loudoun | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | -13 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Antonio | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Orange County SC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | El Paso | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Oakland Roots | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 | New Mexico | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Lexington | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4:15 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
