Phoenix Rising vs New Mexico United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
11/04/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Bensalah N. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.920.46
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
81
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
15
Passes
84% (299/357)85% (368/432)
Yellow cards
24
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.920.46
xG on target (xGOT)
3.580.04
Total shots
107
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
13
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
44
Shots outside the box
63
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
167
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
60
Free kicks
1818
Passes
84% (299/357)85% (368/432)
Long passes
48% (26/54)39% (18/46)
Passes in final third
59% (47/79)63% (41/65)
Crosses
17% (1/6)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.220.40
Throw ins
2415
Fouls
1818
Tackles
75% (6/8)80% (12/15)
Duels won
4241
Clearances
814
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
15
xGOT faced
0.043.58
Goals prevented
0.040.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Sacko I. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 25', Howell M. 🟨,
  • 45+3', JP Scearce 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 51', Moursou J. 🟨,
  • 61', Reid-Stephen N. , Harris D. ,
  • 61', Archimede L. , Rennicks J. ,
  • 62', Nava C. , Hurst G. ,
  • 65', Gloster C. 🟨,
  • 73', 🟥,
  • 74', Vukovic A. , Flores D. ,
  • 75', 2 - 0, JP Scearce , Avayevu H. (A),
  • 76', Jabang O. , LaCava J. ,
  • 80', Noel V. 🟨,
  • 82', 3 - 0, Sacko I. ,
  • 89', Avayevu H. , Capetillo A. ,
  • 89', Johnson D. , Mar Boye P. ,
  • 89', Gomez D. , Studenhofft G. ,
  • 90', Hurst G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Phoenix Rising
40.7%
Draw
26.4%
New Mexico United
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 28.1% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 27% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.24)
    3.52
    (3.26)
    2.82
    (2.98)
    7.7%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:32. (average 1.9:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix Rising won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 2.1:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United 0:1
    31.05.2025 Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United 4:3
    10.05.2025 New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising 1:2
    03.11.2024 New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising 2:1
    09.10.2024 New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising 1:2
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampa Bay752012:4817
    2Louisville City851216:11516
    3Detroit74129:5413
    4Charleston841312:12013
    5Miami FC833210:12-212
    6Pittsburgh831410:13-310
    7Hartford Athletic72417:7010
    8Indy Eleven723210:919
    9Birmingham723210:919
    10Rhode Island722312:1118
    11Brooklyn82158:13-57
    12Loudoun705210:13-35
    13Sporting Jax80175:18-131


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Antonio944111:8316
    2Orange County SC94329:6315
    3El Paso741217:12513
    4Sacramento Republic834111:7413
    5Oakland Roots834114:11313
    6Phoenix Rising833212:8412
    7Colorado Springs723215:1329
    8FC Tulsa72329:819
    9New Mexico52035:8-36
    10Lexington71336:8-26
    11Las Vegas Lights712411:15-45
    12Monterey Bay70253:13-102

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)