Rodez vs Dunkerque – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
21/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 15
  • Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.470.83
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
82% (231/283)88% (474/538)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.470.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.671.05
Total shots
107
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
926
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
82% (231/283)88% (474/538)
Long passes
42% (21/50)57% (26/46)
Passes in final third
67% (58/86)70% (73/104)
Crosses
18% (6/33)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.490.47
Throw-ins
3021
Fouls
1112
Tackles
88% (14/16)45% (5/11)
Duels won
3735
Clearances
1933
Interceptions
1210
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.050.67
Goals prevented
0.05-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', 0 - 1, Robinet T. , Sasso V. (A),
  • 34', Galves N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', Jolibois C. 🟨,
  • 61', Joly O. , Benchamma S. ,
  • 62', Jean-Lambert E. , Ponti R. ,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Ponti R. , Lipinski R. (A),
  • 77', Essimi M. , Seha Z. ,
  • 78', Zossou A. , Daho A. ,
  • 78', Arconte T. , Nagera K. ,
  • 83', Balde I. , Baaloudj M. ,
  • 83', Galves N. , Tourraine M. ,

Chances of winning


Rodez
35%
Draw
28.1%
Dunkerque
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 26.7% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1% 26.5% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Rodez - Dunkerque Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (2.64)
    3.35
    (3.5)
    2.52
    (2.46)
    6.7%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Rodez - Dunkerque?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Rodez (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Dunkerque will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Rodez (votes: 1 - 50%). Dunkerque (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodez won 2.
    • Rodez has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Dunkerque is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Dunkerque may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Rodez has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Rodez: Corredor M. (Inactive) Issanchou Roubiou C. (Inactive) Laurent L. (Inactive) Margueron L. (Injury) Pelon A. (Inactive) Tebily H. (Injury) Trouillet A. (Ankle Injury) Vangi D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Dunkerque: Abner F. (Inactive) Kante A. (Inactive) Massock T. (Inactive) Sangante O. (Inactive) Sylvestre E. (Inactive)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Rodez won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 1.7:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rodez won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 2.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rodez - Dunkerque were as follows:
    10.03.2025 Rodez - Dunkerque 5:1
    30.08.2024 Dunkerque - Rodez 1:0
    10.02.2024 Rodez - Dunkerque 0:0
    23.09.2023 Dunkerque - Rodez 1:2
    Latest results of Rodez
    15.11.2025 Lavaur - Rodez 1:3
    07.11.2025 Grenoble - Rodez 2:1
    31.10.2025 Montpellier - Rodez 2:0
    28.10.2025 Rodez - Annecy 2:1
    25.10.2025 Amiens - Rodez 2:1
    Latest results of Dunkerque
    07.11.2025 Dunkerque - Boulogne 1:1
    01.11.2025 Reims - Dunkerque 1:2
    28.10.2025 Dunkerque - Red Star 3:0
    24.10.2025 Pau - Dunkerque 0:3
    18.10.2025 Dunkerque - Montpellier 0:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes25146540:251548
    2St Etienne25144744:291546
    3Reims25119537:231442
    4Le Mans251011430:24641
    5Red Star25118630:25541
    6Annecy25116834:25939
    7Dunkerque25108741:271438
    8Rodez25910631:31037
    9Montpellier251051028:25335
    10Guingamp2598835:36-135
    11Pau FC2597937:42-534
    12Grenoble25611824:29-529
    13Clermont25771129:33-428
    14Nancy25761222:33-1127
    15Boulogne25761225:36-1127
    16Amiens25651428:41-1323
    17Laval253101219:35-1619
    18Bastia25391312:27-1518

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National