Result
3:0
23/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EFL Trophy
- Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (289/362) | 86% (462/535) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (289/362) | 86% (462/535) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (35/73) | 37% (15/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (59/97) | 70% (42/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 41% (7/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.51 | -1.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Swyer K. ⚽, Jacobs M. (A),
- 23', 2 - 0, Jacobs M. ⚽,
- 28', 3 - 0, List E. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Taylor T. ↓, McGeehan C. ↑,
- 46', Fornah T. ↓, Campbell D. ↑,
- 46', List E. ↓, Perkins J. ↑,
- 55', Barbour K. ↓, Gordon S. ↑,
- 55', Derry J. ↓, Runham F. ↑,
- 61', Vale J. ↓, Hoskins S. ↑,
- 62', Cardoso L. ↓, Eboue M. ↑,
- 62', Nicoll Jazuli M. ↓, Rak-Sakyi S. ↑,
- 78', Swyer K. ↓, Dyche M. ↑,
- 87', McMahon H. ↓, Da Silva I. B. P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Northampton Town
78.4% | Draw
12.3% | Chelsea U21
9.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Northampton Town's performance.Chelsea U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chelsea U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-25.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Northampton Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea U21 than the current prediction. (+15.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chelsea U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Northampton Town - Chelsea U21 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.29 ↓
(1.81) |
9.27 ↑
(3.88) |
12.3 ↑
(3.59) |
-3.7%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Chelsea U21?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Northampton (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Northampton Town will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Chelsea U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Northampton is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Northampton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
- Including home match between the teams, Northampton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Chelsea U21?
Northampton Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chelsea U21 won against Northampton Town?
Chelsea U21 has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Chelsea U21 were as follows:
26.09.2023
Northampton Town
-
Chelsea U21
2:3
Latest results of Northampton Town
Latest results of Chelsea U21
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lincoln | Huddersfield | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Salford | Rotherham | 2 : 7 |
| 3 | Doncaster | Chesterfield | 5 : 1 |
| 4 | Tranmere | Fleetwood | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Bolton | Bradford City | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Port Vale | Barnsley | 5 : 0 |
| 7 | Crewe | Stockport County | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Harrogate | Blackpool | 4 : 2 |
| 9 | Luton | Exeter | 4 : 0 |
| 10 | Swindon | Peterborough | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 3 : 2 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | Plymouth | 0 : 1 |
| 13 | Cardiff | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 5 |
| 14 | Colchester | West Ham U21 | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Northampton | Wycombe | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Stevenage | Walsall | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Rotherham | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Doncaster | Fleetwood | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Bolton | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Stockport County | Harrogate | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Luton | Swindon | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | Plymouth | 3 : 4 |
| 7 | AFC Wimbledon | West Ham U21 | 4 : 2 |
| 8 | Northampton | Walsall | 4 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Doncaster | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Port Vale | Stockport County | 0 : 4 |
| 3 | Luton | Plymouth | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | AFC Wimbledon | Northampton | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Doncaster | Stockport County | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Luton | Northampton | |
Final
