Samsunspor vs Gaziantep – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
01/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 24
  • Referee: Turkmen M. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.930.25
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
30
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
62
Passes
83% (404/489)75% (248/331)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
0.930.25
xG on target (xGOT)
0.850.00
Total shots
126
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
74
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
83
Shots outside the box
43
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
267
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1316
Passes
83% (404/489)75% (248/331)
Long passes
46% (23/50)31% (17/54)
Passes in final third
66% (87/132)62% (33/53)
Crosses
32% (8/25)0% (0/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.990.10
Throw ins
2420
Fouls
1613
Tackles
58% (11/19)68% (13/19)
Duels won
5052
Clearances
727
Interceptions
1416
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
03
xGOT faced
0.000.85
Goals prevented
0.00-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Assoumou J. , Holse C. ,
  • 37', Kayan Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Abena M. , Sorescu D. ,
  • 57', Camara D. , Gidado V. ,
  • 58', Sangare N. 🟨,
  • 67', Ozcicek O. , Maxim A. ,
  • 72', Lungoyi C. 🟨,
  • 76', Tomasson L. , Gonul S. ,
  • 76', Marius , Ndiaye C. ,
  • 76', Kayan Y. , Makoumbou A. ,
  • 77', Kozlowski K. 🟨,
  • 80', Kozlowski K. , Gassama K. ,
  • 80', Bayo M. , Kabadayi Y. ,
  • 89', Yuksel C. , Diabbate A. B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Samsunspor
50.4%
Draw
27.1%
Gaziantep
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.8% 24.1% 20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6% 23.3% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Samsunspor's form might have worsened.
  • Gaziantep has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Samsunspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Samsunspor - Gaziantep Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.69)
    3.48
    (3.92)
    4.23
    (4.7)
    5.8%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Samsunspor - Gaziantep?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Gaziantep will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 48.9%92.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Samsunspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Samsunspor is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Samsunspor: Bulbul T. (Injury) Cetin B. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly T. (Knee Injury) Kilinc E. (Inactive) Sousa A. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Gaziantep: Ablak A. (Knee Injury) M'Bakata S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gaziantep: Ndiaye B. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Samsunspor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Samsunspor - Gaziantep were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Gaziantep - Samsunspor 2:2
    24.01.2025 Samsunspor - Gaziantep 2:1
    18.08.2024 Gaziantep - Samsunspor 0:1
    18.02.2024 Gaziantep - Samsunspor 1:1
    29.09.2023 Samsunspor - Gaziantep 1:2
    Latest results of Samsunspor
    Latest results of Gaziantep
    22.02.2026 Gaziantep - Trabzonspor 1:2
    15.02.2026 Kocaelispor - Gaziantep 3:0
    09.02.2026 Gaziantep - Kasımpaşa 2:1
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray26204262:184464
    2Fenerbahce27179161:283360
    3Trabzonspor27186353:292460
    4Besiktas27157549:311852
    5Basaksehir27127844:301443
    6Goztepe261110530:201043
    7Samsunspor26811729:31-235
    8Kocaelispor27961223:32-933
    9Gaziantep27891036:46-1033
    10Alanyaspor27613833:32131
    11Rizespor26791032:36-430
    12Konyaspor27791131:39-830
    13Genclerbirligi27671428:37-925
    14Antalyaspor27671425:43-1825
    15Kasimpasa27591323:38-1524
    16Kayserispor274111221:48-2723
    17Eyupspor27571519:38-1922
    18Karagumruk27451824:47-2317

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig