Result
2:1
11/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 30
- Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Israel | Sport 5 Max |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.34 | 1.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (348/415) | 85% (381/446) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.34 | 1.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (348/415) | 85% (381/446) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (20/41) | 33% (14/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (117/164) | 65% (52/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 4 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 2.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | 0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', 1 - 0, Stassin L. ⚽, Boakye A. (A),
- 26', 1 - 1, Robinet T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 27', Doucet L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Boakye A. ↓, Jaber M. ↑,
- 64', Kante A. ↓, Miladinovic I. ↑,
- 64', Moueffek A. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 1, Davitashvili Z. ⚽, Jaber M. (A),
- 67', Doucet L. ↓, Essimi M. ↑,
- 71', Jaber M. 🟨,
- 77', Sekongo A. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
- 77', Robinet T. ↓, Daho A. ↑,
- 77', Bokele Mputu M. ↓, Massock T. ↑,
- 81', Cardona I. ↓, Appiah D. ↑,
- 82', Sangante O. 🟨,
- 87', Mayela V. ↓, Makhloufi M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Saint-Étienne
61.9% | Draw
21.3% | Dunkerque
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Saint-Étienne - Dunkerque Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↓
(1.61) |
4.44 ↑
(4.14) |
5.55 ↑
(4.78) |
7.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Saint-Étienne - Dunkerque?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Saint-Étienne will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 10).
- Saint-Étienne is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Dunkerque is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Saint-Étienne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Saint-Étienne is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Bernauer M.
(Knee Injury)
El Jamali N.
(Knee Injury)
Ferreira J.
(Broken Hand)
Jaber M.
(Muscle Injury)
N'Guessan D.
(Inactive)
Paalberg M.
(Inactive)
Soumahoro A.
(Inactive)
Tardieu F.
(Calf Injury)
Traore L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Dunkerque: Abner F.
(Knee Injury)
Daho A.
(Inactive)
Eguaras I.
(Inactive)
Essimi M.
(Knock)
Zossou A.
(Red Card)
- We predict that Saint-Étienne will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Saint-Étienne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Dunkerque?
Saint-Étienne has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dunkerque won against Saint-Étienne?
Dunkerque has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Étienne - Dunkerque were as follows:
06.12.2025
Dunkerque
-
Saint-Étienne
1:0
03.02.2024
Dunkerque
-
Saint-Étienne
1:0
04.10.2023
Saint-Étienne
-
Dunkerque
2:0
Latest results of Saint-Étienne
Latest results of Dunkerque
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 51:30 | 21 | 58 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 53:31 | 22 | 57 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 54 |
| 4 | Red Star | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 51 |
| 5 | Reims | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 48 |
| 6 | Rodez | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 36:34 | 2 | 45 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Annecy | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41:48 | -7 | 42 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:37 | 8 | 40 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 36 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Clermont | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | Nancy | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Laval | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 25 |
| 17 | Amiens | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Bastia | 30 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
