Result
1:1
04/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 29
- Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Israel | Sport 5 Max |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 2.38 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (197/280) | 88% (513/585) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 2.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 2.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 44 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (197/280) | 88% (513/585) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (28/77) | 60% (26/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (40/74) | 80% (197/247) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/15) | 33% (7/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 2.69 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.22 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.22 | -0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Fdaouch Z. ⚽, Ztouti Z. (A),
- 10', Le Cardinal J. 🟨,
- 45', Davitashvili Z. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Appiah D. ↓, Moueffek A. ↑,
- 46', Nade M. ↓, Lamba C. ↑,
- 51', Gelin J. 🟨,
- 61', Pedro K. ↓, Annan E. ↑,
- 65', Ztouti Z. ↓, Bouriaud T. ↑,
- 68', Davitashvili Z. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
- 73', Bourgault J. ↓, Experience M. ↑,
- 73', Kante A. ↓, Miladinovic I. ↑,
- 81', Bokangu B. ↓, Ouotro P. ↑,
- 81', Bouabdelli W. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
- 81', Gelin J. ↓, Nahounou Y. ↑,
- 88', Annan E. 🟨,
- 90+7', 1 - 1, Stassin L. ⚽, Cardona I. (A),
Chances of winning
Nancy
23.7% | Draw
26.4% | Saint-Étienne
49.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nancy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Nancy - Saint-Étienne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.99 ↓
(4.3) |
3.56 ↑
(3.15) |
1.89 ↓
(1.92) |
6.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nancy - Saint-Étienne?
Users Predictions:
Saint-Étienne will win
(17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Saint-Étienne will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 2.
- Recent form of Nancy has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Saint-Étienne is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Nancy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Saint-Étienne is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Nancy: Bamba R.
(Injury)
Dabasse A.
(Inactive)
Guendez M.
(Inactive)
Kenzo N.
(Injury)
Maouassa F.
(Inactive)
Sourzac M.
(Arm Injury)
Suljic C.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Saint-Étienne: El Jamali N.
(Knee Injury)
Ferreira J.
(Broken Hand)
Jaber M.
(Muscle Injury)
Larsonneur G.
(Leg Injury)
N'Guessan D.
(Inactive)
Paalberg M.
(Inactive)
Tardieu F.
(Calf Injury)
Traore L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Bernauer M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nancy won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Nancy won against Saint-Étienne?
Nancy has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Nancy?
Saint-Étienne has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nancy - Saint-Étienne were as follows:
22.11.2025
Saint-Étienne
-
Nancy
2:1
Latest results of Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 56:32 | 24 | 64 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 47:30 | 17 | 58 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 53:36 | 17 | 57 |
| 4 | Red Star | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 54 |
| 5 | Reims | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 52 |
| 6 | Rodez | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 41:37 | 4 | 52 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 39:28 | 11 | 50 |
| 8 | Annecy | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 46:36 | 10 | 49 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:54 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 51:41 | 10 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 42:47 | -5 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 32:45 | -13 | 36 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Clermont | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Nancy | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
| 16 | Laval | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 28:43 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | Bastia | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22:37 | -15 | 25 |
| 18 | Amiens | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 36:57 | -21 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
