Result
0:2
06/12/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Women - Round 8
- Referee: Recchia A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (258/358) | 74% (273/367) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (258/358) | 74% (273/367) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (29/72) | 48% (45/93) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (46/88) | 66% (76/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.62 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Piga J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Cernoia V. ↓, Park Soo-Jeong ↑,
- 55', Pettenuzzo T. 🟨,
- 58', Troan M. ↓, Carcassi A. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 1, Grimshaw C. ⚽,
- 71', Piga J. ↓, Soffia A. ↑,
- 71', Vanmechelen D. ↓, Sciabica M. ↑,
- 86', Giordano M. ↓, Vischi F. ↑,
- 90+2', Kyvag T. ↓, Appiah K. ↑,
- 90+4', 0 - 2, Appiah K. ⚽, Park Soo-Jeong (A),
Chances of winning
Napoli
30.2% | Draw
27.2% | Milan
42.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Napoli's performance.Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Milan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Napoli that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Milan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Napoli - Milan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.03 ↓
(4.07) |
3.36 ↓
(3.61) |
2.14 ↑
(1.8) |
9.6%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Napoli - Milan?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Napoli will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Milan will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Napoli will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Milan might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:19. (average 0.6:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Napoli won against Milan?
Napoli has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Napoli?
Milan has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Napoli - Milan were as follows:
12.01.2025
Milan
-
Napoli
6:0
06.10.2024
Napoli
-
Milan
0:1
12.05.2024
Napoli
-
Milan
1:1
14.04.2024
Milan
-
Napoli
3:2
16.12.2023
Milan
-
Napoli
1:1
Italian Serie A Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AS Roma W | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 32:16 | 16 | 40 |
| 2 | Inter W | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 38:17 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Juventus W | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22:11 | 11 | 29 |
| 4 | Lazio W | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 23:19 | 4 | 27 |
| 5 | Napoli W | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | Fiorentina W | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 24:23 | 1 | 26 |
| 7 | Como W | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 25 |
| 8 | AC Milan W | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25:23 | 2 | 25 |
| 9 | Ternana W | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16:32 | -16 | 13 |
| 10 | Sassuolo W | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:27 | -14 | 13 |
| 11 | Parma W | 17 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 12 |
| 12 | Genoa W | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14:32 | -18 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Women
