Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 5
- Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports |
Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
Denmark | TV2 Play |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3 |
France | DAZN France |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
Hungary | Net4+ |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
Malaysia | Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
Mexico | Disney+ |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Norway | VG+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Romania | Prima Sport 4 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | DAZN, DAZN UK |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.38 | 0.45 |
Ball Possession |
---|
58% | 42% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
84% (375/447) | 76% (239/313) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 4 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.38 | 0.45 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.70 | 0.82 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
15 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
84% (375/447) | 76% (239/313) |
Long passes |
---|
50% (27/54) | 37% (20/54) |
Passes in final third |
---|
57% (53/93) | 59% (38/64) |
Crosses |
---|
33% (3/9) | 33% (5/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.44 | 0.20 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 17 |
Tackles |
---|
73% (11/15) | 65% (11/17) |
Duels won |
---|
46 | 45 |
Clearances |
---|
22 | 14 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.82 | 1.70 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.18 | 0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Baschirotto F. 🟨,
- 21', Roberto S. ↓, Da Cunha L. ↑,
- 29', Perrone M. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Paz N. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
- 34', Ramon J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ramon J. ↓, Kempf M. O. ↑,
- 46', Zerbin A. ↓, Floriani R. ↑,
- 46', Kuhn N. ↓, Addai J. ↑,
- 62', Payero M. 🟨,
- 64', Payero M. ↓, Vazquez F. ↑,
- 64', Johnsen D. ↓, Sanabria A. ↑,
- 66', Douvikas A. ↓, Caqueret M. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, Baschirotto F. ⚽, Vazquez F. (A),
- 77', Bonazzoli F. ↓, Vandeputte J. ↑,
- 82', Rodriguez J. 🟥,
- 85', Floriani R. 🟨,
- 87', Sanabria A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Paz N. ↓, Morata A. ↑,
- 90+1', Bondo W. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
- 90+3', Da Cunha L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Como 70.1% | Draw 19% | Cremonese 10.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Como's performance.Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Como - Cremonese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.39 ↓ (1.54) |
5.31 ↑ (4.07) |
9.33 ↑ (6.5) |
1.5% (4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Como - Cremonese?
Users Predictions:
41 users predict this event. Como will win (votes: 29 - 70.7%). Cremonese will win (votes: 5 - 12.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 17.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Como: 56.8% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Como (votes: 5 - 50%). Cremonese (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 4 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Como won 0.
- Como is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cremonese has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Como may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Como is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Como: Diao A.
(Foot Injury)
Dossena A.
(Knee Injury)
Van der Brempt I.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Cremonese: Collocolo M.
(Muscle Injury)
Moumbagna F.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Como won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:24. (average 1.1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Como won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.5:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Como won against Cremonese?
Como has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cremonese won against Como?
Cremonese has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Como - Cremonese were as follows:
09.03.2024
Cremonese
-
Como
2:1
08.10.2023
Como
-
Cremonese
1:3
Latest results of Cremonese
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Napoli | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
2 | AS Roma | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 5 | 15 |
3 | AC Milan | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 13 |
4 | Inter | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 12 |
5 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Atalanta | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Bologna | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
8 | Como | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Sassuolo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
10 | Cremonese | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
11 | Cagliari | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
12 | Udinese | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Lazio | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 7 |
14 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
15 | Lecce | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
16 | Torino | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:13 | -8 | 5 |
17 | Fiorentina | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
18 | Verona | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:9 | -7 | 3 |
19 | Genoa | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
20 | Pisa | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B