Parma vs Cremonese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
21/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 30
  • Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.340.72
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
14
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
31
Passes
80% (317/397)82% (319/387)
Yellow cards
33
Expected goals (xG)
0.340.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.191.03
Total shots
87
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
42
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
34
Shots outside the box
53
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
175
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free kicks
1520
Passes
80% (317/397)82% (319/387)
Long passes
37% (17/46)40% (29/72)
Passes in final third
56% (62/111)62% (31/50)
Crosses
30% (6/20)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.430.22
Throw ins
3213
Fouls
2015
Tackles
29% (2/7)63% (12/19)
Duels won
5156
Clearances
1536
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
21
xGOT faced
1.030.19
Goals prevented
-0.970.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Zerbin A. , Barbieri T. ,
  • 50', Barbieri T. 🟨,
  • 54', 0 - 1, Maleh Y. ,
  • 60', Circati A. , Nicolussi Caviglia H. ,
  • 61', Sorensen O. , Oristanio G. ,
  • 66', Ondrejka J. 🟨,
  • 67', Bonazzoli F. , Payero M. ,
  • 67', Sanabria A. , Vardy J. ,
  • 68', 0 - 2, Vandeputte J. , Vardy J. (A),
  • 73', Keita M. , Estevez N. ,
  • 73', Ondrejka J. , Elphege N. ,
  • 79', Vandeputte J. , Thorsby M. ,
  • 89', Bianchetti M. , Folino F. ,
  • 90+2', Payero M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Troilo M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Pezzella G. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Valenti L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Parma
44.5%
Draw
30.6%
Cremonese
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 32.1% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 32.4% 23%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Parma - Cremonese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.11)
    3.13
    (2.96)
    3.89
    (4.18)
    4.5%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Parma - Cremonese?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 21 - 61.8%). Cremonese will win (votes: 5 - 14.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 23.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 45.5%78.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Cremonese (2.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cremonese (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parma won 1.
    • Recent performances by Parma have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cremonese is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Cremonese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Parma is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Parma: Almqvist P. (Thigh Injury) Bernabe A. (Muscle Injury) Cremaschi B. (Injury) Delprato E. (Yellow Cards) Frigan M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Cremonese: Baschirotto F. (Muscle Injury) Bondo W. (Yellow Cards) Collocolo M. (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Parma won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Parma won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Parma - Cremonese were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Cremonese - Parma 0:0
    05.05.2024 Parma - Cremonese 1:1
    01.10.2023 Cremonese - Parma 1:2
    Latest results of Parma
    13.03.2026 Torino - Parma 4:1
    08.03.2026 Fiorentina - Parma 0:0
    27.02.2026 Parma - Cagliari 1:1
    22.02.2026 Milan - Parma 0:1
    15.02.2026 Parma - Verona 2:1
    Latest results of Cremonese
    16.03.2026 Cremonese - Fiorentina 1:4
    08.03.2026 Lecce - Cremonese 2:1
    01.03.2026 Cremonese - Milan 0:2
    22.02.2026 Roma - Cremonese 3:0
    15.02.2026 Cremonese - Genoa 0:0
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter32243575:294675
    2Napoli32206648:311766
    3AC Milan32189547:272063
    4Juventus32179655:292660
    5Como321610656:263058
    6AS Roma321831145:281757
    7Atalanta321411744:281653
    8Bologna321461242:37548
    9Lazio3211111032:30244
    10Udinese321271338:42-443
    11Sassuolo321261439:43-442
    12Torino321161537:54-1739
    13Genoa32991438:45-736
    14Parma328121223:40-1736
    15Fiorentina328111337:44-735
    16Cagliari32891533:44-1133
    17Cremonese32691726:47-2127
    18Lecce32761921:45-2427
    19Verona32392023:55-3218
    20Pisa322121823:58-3518

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B