Result
2:2
21/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 33
- Referee: Ward G. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.44 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (228/317) | 76% (305/403) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (228/317) | 76% (305/403) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (22/58) | 23% (11/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (54/91) | 68% (87/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.34 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 33% (4/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.87 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Wilmot B. ⚽, Cresswell A. (A),
- 39', Kristiansen V. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 50', Pearson B. 🟨,
- 52', 1 - 1, Mukasa D. ⚽, Monga J. (A),
- 54', Pearson B. ↓, N'Zonzi S. ↑,
- 63', Monga J. ↓, Aribo J. ↑,
- 70', Thomas L. 🟨,
- 70', Thomas S. 🟨,
- 71', Smit M. ↓, Manhoef M. ↑,
- 71', Bocat E. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 2, Winks H. ⚽, Mukasa D. (A),
- 79', Bae J. ↓, Rak-Sakyi J. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 2, Wilmot B. ⚽, Cisse L. (A),
Chances of winning
Stoke City
41.4% | Draw
29% | Leicester City
29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+1%)
Stoke City - Leicester City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.1) |
3.29 ↓
(3.56) |
3.21 ↓
(3.32) |
5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Stoke City - Leicester City?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Leicester will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 48.9% – 92.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Stoke (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Leicester (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Stoke (votes: 2 - 50%). Leicester (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 0.
- Stoke is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Leicester has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Stoke will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Stoke: Ampah A.
(Inactive)
Baker L.
(Inactive)
Bazunu G.
(Thigh Injury)
Bozenik R.
(Shoulder Injury)
Gallagher S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Johansson V.
(Shoulder Injury)
Mubama D.
(Ankle Injury)
Tchamadeu J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Leicester: Aribo J.
(Inactive)
Choudhury H.
(Knee Injury)
James J.
(Injury)
Ramsey A.
(Injury)
Souttar H.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Vestergaard J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Leicester: Ayew J.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:29. (average 0.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stoke won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 1.1:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Leicester City?
Stoke City has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leicester City won against Stoke City?
Leicester City has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Leicester City were as follows:
22.11.2025
Leicester City
-
Stoke City
2:1
03.02.2024
Stoke City
-
Leicester City
0:5
07.10.2023
Leicester City
-
Stoke City
2:0
Latest results of Stoke City
Latest results of Leicester City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 60:34 | 26 | 63 |
| 4 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 5 | Hull | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
