Result
2:1 penalties
26/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EFL Cup - 1/32-finals
- Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (494/572) | 77% (221/288) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (494/572) | 77% (221/288) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (33/59) | 50% (36/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (84/117) | 63% (50/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 37% (7/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', 1 - 0, Vipotnik Z. ⚽, Stamenic M. (A),
- 45', 1 - 1, Wiredu B. ⚽, Sorinola M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Eom J. ↓, Key J. ↑,
- 62', Burgess C. ↓, Cabango B. ↑,
- 62', Stamenic M. ↓, Galbraith E. ↑,
- 62', Inoussa Z. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
- 65', Ibrahim B. ↓, Watts C. ↑,
- 65', Oseni O. ↓, Tolaj L. ↑,
- 70', Casey K. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
- 71', Finn T. ↓, Issaka F. ↑,
- 72', Hatch J. ↓, Mumba B. ↑,
- 76', Roberts C. 🟨,
- 80', Fulton J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Pepple A. ↓, Boateng M. ↑,
- Penalties (5 - 3)
- 1, Vipotnik Z. (Pen),
- 1, Tolaj L. (Pen),
- 2, Galbraith E. (Pen),
- 2, Sorinola M. (Pen),
- 3, Cullen L. (Pen),
- 3, Watts C. (Pen),
- 4, Cabango B. (Pen),
- 4, Mumba B. (Pen),
- 5, Widell M. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Swansea City
64.8% | Draw
21.4% | Plymouth Argyle
13.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Swansea City's performance.Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Plymouth Argyle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-15.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Swansea City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Plymouth Argyle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.71) |
4.52 ↑
(3.75) |
7.11 ↑
(4.72) |
3.6%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle?
Users Predictions:
Swansea City will win
(38 of 38 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Swansea City will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Swansea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Swansea has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Swansea is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Plymouth: Hazard C.
(Knee Injury)
Issaka F.
(Thigh Injury)
MacKenzie J.
(Inactive)
Paterson J.
(Inactive)
Pleguezuelo J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Swansea: Lissah F.
(Inactive)
Santos R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Plymouth: Amaechi X.
(Injury)
Galloway B.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:6. (average 2.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Plymouth Argyle?
Swansea City has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Swansea City?
Plymouth Argyle has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
09.04.2025
Swansea City
-
Plymouth Argyle
3:0
10.12.2024
Plymouth Argyle
-
Swansea City
1:2
03.02.2024
Swansea City
-
Plymouth Argyle
0:1
07.10.2023
Plymouth Argyle
-
Swansea City
1:3
Latest results of Swansea City
Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
Draw
Main1/64-finals| 1 | Birmingham | Sheffield Utd | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Blackpool | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Arsenal | |
| 5 | Swansea | Crawley | 3 : 1 |
| 6 | Plymouth | QPR | 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Nottingham | |
| 9 | Tranmere | Burton | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Harrogate | Lincoln | 1 : 3 |
| 12 | Bye | Chelsea | |
| 13 | Tottenham | Bye | |
| 15 | Accrington | Peterborough | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Middlesbrough | Doncaster | 0 : 4 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | Bye | |
| 18 | Bye | Brentford | |
| 20 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
| 21 | Sunderland | Bye | |
| 22 | Huddersfield | Leicester | 3 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Manchester City | |
| 25 | Liverpool | Bye | |
| 27 | Watford | Norwich | 1 : 2 |
| 28 | Northampton | Southampton | 0 : 1 |
| 29 | Newcastle | Bye | |
| 31 | Stoke | Walsall | 1 : 0 |
| 32 | Blackburn | Bradford City | 1 : 2 |
| 33 | Bolton | Sheffield Wed | 3 : 4 |
| 34 | Bye | Leeds | |
| 35 | Grimsby | Shrewsbury | 3 : 1 |
| 36 | Bye | Manchester Utd | |
| 37 | Wolves | Bye | |
| 38 | Bye | West Ham | |
| 39 | Everton | Bye | |
| 40 | Chesterfield | Mansfield | 0 : 2 |
| 41 | Crystal Palace | Bye | |
| 43 | Newport | Millwall | 0 : 1 |
| 44 | Coventry | Luton | 1 : 0 |
| 45 | Burnley | Bye | |
| 46 | West Brom | Derby | 1 : 2 |
| 47 | Cardiff | Swindon | 2 : 1 |
| 48 | Cheltenham | Exeter | 2 : 0 |
| 49 | Barrow | Preston | 0 : 1 |
| 50 | Wrexham | Hull | 4 : 3 |
| 51 | Portsmouth | Reading | 1 : 2 |
| 52 | Gillingham | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 2 |
| 53 | Wigan | Notts Co | 1 : 0 |
| 54 | Stockport County | Crewe | 3 : 1 |
| 55 | Bromley | Ipswich | 2 : 1 |
| 56 | Leyton Orient | Wycombe | 0 : 1 |
| 57 | Barnsley | Fleetwood | 3 : 2 |
| 58 | Salford | Rotherham | 0 : 1 |
| 59 | Oxford Utd | Colchester | 1 : 0 |
| 60 | Bye | Brighton | |
| 61 | Fulham | Bye | |
| 62 | Bristol City | MK Dons | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Charlton | Stevenage | 3 : 1 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Birmingham | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Arsenal | |
| 3 | Swansea | Plymouth | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Nottingham | |
| 5 | Burton | Lincoln | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Bye | Chelsea | |
| 7 | Tottenham | Bye | |
| 8 | Accrington | Doncaster | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | Brentford | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
| 11 | Sunderland | Huddersfield | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Manchester City | |
| 13 | Liverpool | Bye | |
| 14 | Norwich | Southampton | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Newcastle | Bye | |
| 16 | Stoke | Bradford City | 0 : 3 |
| 17 | Sheffield Wed | Leeds | 2 : 1 |
| 18 | Grimsby | Manchester Utd | 3 : 2 |
| 19 | Wolves | West Ham | 3 : 2 |
| 20 | Everton | Mansfield | 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Crystal Palace | Bye | |
| 22 | Millwall | Coventry | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Burnley | Derby | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Cardiff | Cheltenham | 3 : 0 |
| 25 | Preston | Wrexham | 2 : 3 |
| 26 | Reading | AFC Wimbledon | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Wigan | Stockport County | 1 : 0 |
| 28 | Bromley | Wycombe | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Barnsley | Rotherham | 2 : 1 |
| 30 | Oxford Utd | Brighton | 0 : 6 |
| 31 | Fulham | Bristol City | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Cambridge Utd | Charlton | 3 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Port Vale | Arsenal | |
| 2 | Swansea | Nottingham | |
| 3 | Lincoln | Chelsea | |
| 4 | Tottenham | Doncaster | |
| 5 | Brentford | Aston Villa | |
| 6 | Huddersfield | Manchester City | |
| 7 | Liverpool | Southampton | |
| 8 | Newcastle | Bradford City | |
| 9 | Sheffield Wed | Grimsby | |
| 10 | Wolves | Everton | |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | Millwall | |
| 12 | Burnley | Cardiff | |
| 13 | Wrexham | Reading | |
| 14 | Wigan | Wycombe | |
| 15 | Barnsley | Brighton | |
| 16 | Fulham | Cambridge Utd | |
