Result
0:1
21/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 13
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Moncarapachense
26.1% | Draw
32.2% | Elvas
41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moncarapachense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Elvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elvas than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Moncarapachense - Elvas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.45 ↓
(3.55) |
2.8 ↓
(3) |
2.16 ↑
(2.12) |
10.8%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 9).
- Moncarapachense is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Elvas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Elvas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Moncarapachense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Moncarapachense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Moncarapachense won against Elvas?
Moncarapachense has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Elvas won against Moncarapachense?
Elvas has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Moncarapachense - Elvas were as follows:
11.02.2024
Elvas
-
Moncarapachense
0:1
08.10.2023
Moncarapachense
-
Elvas
2:1
Latest results of Moncarapachense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louletano ✔ | 24 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Malveira | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 36:20 | 16 | 44 |
| 3 | Alverca B | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 41 |
| 4 | Juv. Evora | 24 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 31:22 | 9 | 40 |
| 5 | GD Alcochetense | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 30:20 | 10 | 37 |
| 6 | Lagoa | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 36 |
| 7 | Serpa | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Sintrense | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 26:24 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | O Elvas CAD | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 32 |
| 10 | Moncarapachense | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 30 |
| 11 | Oriental | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 26:33 | -7 | 28 |
| 12 | Portimonense B ✔ | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17:37 | -20 | 22 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama ✔ | 24 | 1 | 11 | 12 | 17:47 | -30 | 14 |
| 14 | Industria ✔ | 24 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 20:40 | -20 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louletano is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Portimonense B is Relegated to
Vasco da Gama is Relegated to
Industria is Relegated to
