Moncarapachense vs Atlético da Malveira – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
08/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 21

Match Stats

Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
79
Shots on target
31
Corner kicks
55
Total shots
79
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
48
Corner kicks
55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Moncarapachense
33.1%
Draw
32.6%
Atlético da Malveira
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 30.3% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7% 31.8% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Atlético da Malveira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético da Malveira than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Moncarapachense - Atlético da Malveira Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.74
    (2.53)
    2.78
    (3)
    2.64
    (2.69)
    10.3%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moncarapachense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Moncarapachense - Atlético da Malveira were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Atlético da Malveira - Moncarapachense 1:0
    Latest results of Moncarapachense
    Latest results of Atlético da Malveira
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louletano26148436:152150
    2Malveira26138538:231547
    3Alverca B26145749:321747
    4Juv. Evora261210436:231346
    5GD Alcochetense26118733:221141
    6Sintrense26117830:25540
    7Lagoa26116944:341039
    8O Elvas CAD26971033:29434
    9Serpa26971028:34-634
    10Oriental26711829:35-632
    11Moncarapachense26710921:21031
    12Portimonense B26641619:42-2322
    13Industria26281620:45-2514
    14Vasco da Gama261111420:56-3614

          Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
          Relegation