Result
1:0
04/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 24
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 64', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Louletano
55.9% | Draw
28.5% | Moncarapachense
15.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Louletano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louletano than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+1%)
Louletano - Moncarapachense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.64) |
3.16 ↓
(3.36) |
5.79 ↑
(5) |
11%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louletano won 1.
- Louletano has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Moncarapachense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Moncarapachense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Louletano is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Louletano will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Louletano won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Louletano won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 0.8:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Louletano won against Moncarapachense?
Louletano has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Moncarapachense won against Louletano?
Moncarapachense has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Louletano - Moncarapachense were as follows:
07.12.2025
Moncarapachense
-
Louletano
0:0
19.01.2025
Moncarapachense
-
Louletano
1:0
22.09.2024
Moncarapachense
-
Louletano
2:1
27.08.2024
Louletano
-
Moncarapachense
1:0
28.01.2024
Louletano
-
Moncarapachense
0:1
Latest results of Louletano
Latest results of Moncarapachense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louletano | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 36:15 | 21 | 50 |
| 2 | Malveira | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 38:23 | 15 | 47 |
| 3 | Alverca B | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 49:32 | 17 | 47 |
| 4 | Juv. Evora | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 36:23 | 13 | 46 |
| 5 | GD Alcochetense | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 33:22 | 11 | 41 |
| 6 | Sintrense | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 30:25 | 5 | 40 |
| 7 | Lagoa | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:34 | 10 | 39 |
| 8 | O Elvas CAD | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 34 |
| 9 | Serpa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:34 | -6 | 34 |
| 10 | Oriental | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29:35 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | Moncarapachense | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 21:21 | 0 | 31 |
| 12 | Portimonense B | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 19:42 | -23 | 22 |
| 13 | Industria | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 20:45 | -25 | 14 |
| 14 | Vasco da Gama | 26 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 20:56 | -36 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
