Necaxa vs Pachuca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
03/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Apertura - Round 12
  • Referee: Pacheco Larios G. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Claro Sports, VIX+, ViX Premium
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
usaUsaTUDN App, TUDN
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldPluto TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.90
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
78% (292/375)71% (212/298)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.90
xG on target (xGOT)
0.550.81
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
39
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
78
Hit the Woodwork
21
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
2122
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
615
Passes
78% (292/375)71% (212/298)
Long passes
43% (21/49)37% (23/62)
Passes in final third
65% (99/152)69% (57/83)
Crosses
8% (2/26)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.710.60
Throw-ins
2726
Fouls
156
Tackles
65% (20/31)67% (12/18)
Duels won
6445
Clearances
2046
Interceptions
103
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.810.55
Goals prevented
-0.190.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', Cambindo D. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 1, Quinones L. , Aceves A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Eduardo Bauermann 🟨,
  • 55', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
  • 60', Aceves A. , Sanchez C. ,
  • 64', Kenedy , Togni G. ,
  • 64', Idrissi O. , Luna I. ,
  • 67', Cambindo D. , Monreal R. ,
  • 72', Pedraza P. 🟨,
  • 72', Rossano F. 🟨,
  • 77', Rojas J. , Perez P. ,
  • 79', Palavecino A. 🟨,
  • 79', Valencia E. , Hernandez I. ,
  • 80', Pedraza P. , Guzman V. ,
  • 90', Moreno C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Necaxa
38.1%
Draw
25.9%
Pachuca
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 26.2% 39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 27% 38.3%

Necaxa - Pachuca Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.47
(2.75)
3.61
(3.61)
2.59
(2.4)
6.7%
(5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Necaxa - Pachuca?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Necaxa will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Pachuca will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 0.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Necaxa: Jimenez L. (Red Card) Lara E. (Elbow Injury)
    • There will not play in Pachuca: Dominguez A. (International duty) Micolta A. (Knee Injury) Montiel E. (International duty)
    • There are questionable in Pachuca: Carvalho W. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:36. (average 1.2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.6:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Necaxa - Pachuca were as follows:
    11.04.2025 Necaxa - Pachuca 3:5
    02.11.2024 Pachuca - Necaxa 6:2
    05.05.2024 Pachuca - Necaxa 2:1
    23.02.2024 Necaxa - Pachuca 1:1
    30.09.2023 Pachuca - Necaxa 1:1
    Latest results of Necaxa
    27.09.2025 Atlas - Necaxa 3:2
    19.09.2025 Necaxa - Puebla 1:0
    12.09.2025 Necaxa - Juárez 1:1
    31.08.2025 Tijuana - Necaxa 3:0
    Latest results of Pachuca
    23.09.2025 Puebla - Pachuca 2:2
    20.09.2025 Pachuca - Querétaro 0:2
    13.09.2025 Pachuca - Cruz Azul 0:1
    30.08.2025 Club América - Pachuca 2:0
    Draw
    Apertura - Play In

    Semi-finals
    1Club Tijuana (7)Juarez (8)
    4Pachuca (9)UNAM Pumas (10)3 : 1

    Final
    1TBD #1Bye
    2ByePachuca (9)