Result
74:94
05/07/2025 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFL - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 7 |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Goals |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Behinds |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Kicks |
|---|
| 208 | 213 |
| Handballs |
|---|
| 151 | 132 |
| Disposals |
|---|
| 359 | 345 |
| Frees For |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Frees Against |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 42 | 36 |
| Marks |
|---|
| 80 | 103 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82 | 58 |
| Hitouts |
|---|
| 30 | 64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Quarter (8 - 17)
- 01:45, Sinclair J. (Behind),
- 05:47, Chol M. (Behind),
- 10:00, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 12:37, Gunston J. (G),
- 14:29, (Behind Rushed),
- 17:19, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 18:58, Hall M. (G),
- 22:34, Watson N. (G),
- 24:12, (Behind Rushed),
- 28:29, Hall M. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (16 - 25)
- 03:57, Higgins J. (Behind),
- 06:59, Chol M. (Behind),
- 11:14, Butler D. (Behind),
- 13:21, Tauru A. (Behind),
- 17:14, Ginnivan J. (G),
- 18:34, Windhager M. (G),
- 20:36, Higgins J. (G),
- 23:50, Macdonald C. (G),
- 24:58, Watson N. (G),
- 26:10, Wanganeen-Milera N. (Behind),
- 30:35, Newcombe J. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (22 - 30)
- 03:44, (Behind Rushed),
- 04:50, (Behind Rushed),
- 06:19, (Behind Rushed),
- 09:32, Sharman C. (Behind),
- 11:13, Ramsden M. (G),
- 14:59, Morrison H. (G),
- 17:07, Macrae J. (G),
- 20:00, Chol M. (G),
- 23:33, Hall M. (G),
- 26:52, Owens M. (G),
- 28:35, Gunston J. (G),
- 30:51, Chol M. (G),
- 4th Quarter (28 - 22)
- 00:36, Higgins J. (G),
- 05:13, Moore D. (G),
- 07:27, Moore D. (Behind),
- 10:14, Sharman C. (G),
- 12:52, D'Ambrosio M. (G),
- 14:42, Wood M. (Behind),
- 15:19, Moore D. (Behind),
- 15:59, Higgins J. (Behind),
- 17:32, Moore D. (Behind),
- 19:14, Nash C. (Behind),
- 20:15, Wanganeen-Milera N. (Behind),
- 21:15, Hall M. (G),
- 26:52, Gunston J. (G),
- 28:23, Wanganeen-Milera N. (Behind),
- 30:27, Marshall R. (G),
Chances of winning
St Kilda Saints
31% | Hawthorn Hawks
69% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St Kilda Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Hawthorn Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Kilda Saints than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St Kilda Saints, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hawthorn Hawks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
St Kilda Saints - Hawthorn Hawks Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.94 ↑
(2.87) |
|
1.36 ↓
(1.43) |
7.6%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 166.50The most likely Handicap: 2 (-18)
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 3.
- St Kilda has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Hawthorn has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Hawthorn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Hawthorn is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Hawthorn will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1401:1524. (average 77.8:84.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, St Kilda won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 786:894. (average 71.5:81.3).
How many head-to-head matches has St Kilda Saints won against Hawthorn Hawks?
St Kilda Saints has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against St Kilda Saints?
Hawthorn Hawks has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St Kilda Saints - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:
10.05.2024
Hawthorn Hawks
-
St Kilda Saints
58:53
29.07.2023
Hawthorn Hawks
-
St Kilda Saints
93:122
26.05.2023
St Kilda Saints
-
Hawthorn Hawks
78:88
Latest results of St Kilda Saints
Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
AFL Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | %% | Pts |
| 1 | Adelaide Crows | 23 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 2278:1635 | 139.33 | 72 |
| 2 | Geelong Cats | 23 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 2425:1714 | 141.48 | 68 |
| 3 | Collingwood Magpies | 23 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 1991:1627 | 122.37 | 64 |
| 4 | Brisbane Lions | 22 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 1972:1725 | 114.32 | 62 |
| 5 | Hawthorn Hawks | 22 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 1966:1602 | 122.72 | 60 |
| 6 | GWS Giants | 22 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 2010:1741 | 115.45 | 60 |
| 7 | Fremantle Dockers | 22 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 1866:1718 | 108.61 | 60 |
| 8 | Western Bulldogs | 22 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 2396:1708 | 140.28 | 56 |
| 9 | Gold Coast Suns | 22 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 2020:1682 | 120.10 | 56 |
| 10 | Sydney Swans | 23 | 12 | 0 | 11 | 1845:1902 | 97.00 | 48 |
| 11 | Carlton Blues | 23 | 9 | 0 | 14 | 1799:1861 | 96.67 | 36 |
| 12 | St Kilda Saints | 22 | 9 | 0 | 13 | 1746:1973 | 88.49 | 36 |
| 13 | Port Adelaide Power | 23 | 9 | 0 | 14 | 1705:2136 | 79.82 | 36 |
| 14 | Melbourne Demons | 23 | 7 | 0 | 16 | 1902:2038 | 93.33 | 28 |
| 15 | Essendon Bombers | 22 | 6 | 0 | 16 | 1477:2056 | 71.84 | 24 |
| 16 | North Melbourne | 23 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 1805:2365 | 76.32 | 22 |
| 17 | Richmond Tigers | 23 | 5 | 0 | 18 | 1449:2197 | 65.95 | 20 |
| 18 | West Coast Eagles | 23 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 1466:2438 | 60.13 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )
