Result
1:1
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 28
- Referee: Beaton J. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Dundee United TV, Kilmarnock TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (175/294) | 74% (357/484) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (175/294) | 74% (357/484) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (28/70) | 48% (42/87) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (76/137) | 56% (75/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (11/39) | 43% (9/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.79 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.33 | 0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Sibbald C. ↓, Strain R. ↑,
- 41', Hugill J. 🟨,
- 41', Fatah A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45', Iovu I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Lyons B. ↓, Watkins M. ↑,
- 54', Tshibola A. 🟨,
- 57', Schjonning-Larsen M. 🟨,
- 58', Tshibola A. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
- 72', Watters M. ↓, Sapsford Z. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 0, Fatah A. ⚽, Ferry W. (A),
- 79', Curtis F. ↓, Polworth L. ↑,
- 79', Hugill J. ↓, Anderson B. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Watkins M. ⚽, Kiltie G. (A),
- 90+4', Thompson J. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Dundee United
48.6% | Draw
26.4% | Kilmarnock
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dundee United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Kilmarnock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundee United than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Dundee United - Kilmarnock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.89) |
3.57 ↑
(3.52) |
3.76 ↓
(3.79) |
5.8%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Dundee United - Kilmarnock?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Dundee Utd will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundee Utd won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Dundee Utd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Dundee Utd might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Dundee Utd: Pappoe I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Kilmarnock: Daniels D.
(Knee Injury)
Kennedy M.
(Hip Injury)
Magennis K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Dundee Utd: Trapanovski K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Kilmarnock: John-Jules T.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dundee Utd won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:31. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dundee Utd won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Dundee United won against Kilmarnock?
Dundee United has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against Dundee United?
Kilmarnock has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dundee United - Kilmarnock were as follows:
29.11.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Dundee United
1:1
27.09.2025
Dundee United
-
Kilmarnock
0:2
17.08.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Dundee United
2:1
01.02.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Dundee United
1:0
07.12.2024
Dundee United
-
Kilmarnock
1:1
Latest results of Dundee United
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 51:24 | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Rangers ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 49:23 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Celtic ✔ | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 49:28 | 21 | 54 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 45:18 | 27 | 50 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 28:38 | -10 | 29 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 24:42 | -18 | 27 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 23 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 31:55 | -24 | 21 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 28 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
