Result
 
                    2:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        01/11/2025 at  13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Premier League - Round 14
 
                                                - Referee: Chistyakov A. (Rus)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Belarus | Belarus 5 | 
 Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go | 
 Russia | Match TV, Sportbox.ru | 
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.14 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 49% | 51% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 11 | 9 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 77% (304/393) | 81% (323/400) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.14 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.02 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 11 | 9 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 7 | 5 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 27 | 17 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 5 | 0 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 19 | 10 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 77% (304/393) | 81% (323/400) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 43% (32/75) | 42% (18/43) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 73% (90/123) | 63% (66/104) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 46% (11/24) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.54 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 27 | 8 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 10 | 19 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 71% (12/17) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 62 | 45 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 17 | 27 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 6 | 10 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.84 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.06 | -1.16 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
 - 9', 1 - 0, Pedrinho ⚽, Glushenkov M. (A), 
 - 45+2', Batrakov A. 🟨, 
 - 45+2', Gustavo Mantuan 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (1 - 0)
 - 54', Karpukas A. ↓, Bakaev Z. ↑, 
 - 75', Gerson ↓, Mostovoy A. ↑, 
 - 75', Drkusic V. ↓, Erakovic S. ↑, 
 - 84', Prutsev D. ↓, Myalkovskiy R. ↑, 
 - 84', Pedrinho ↓, Gondou L. ↑, 
 - 84', Luiz Henrique ↓, Sobolev A. ↑, 
 - 84', Nenakhov M. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑, 
 - 90', Glushenkov M. ↓, Erokhin A. ↑, 
 - 90+1', 2 - 0, Mostovoy A. ⚽, Erakovic S. (A), 
 - 90+4', Mostovoy A. 🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Zenit  59.9% | Draw  22.6% | Lokomotiv Moscow  17.5% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Zenit - Lokomotiv Moscow Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.59 ↓ (1.66) | 
			   4.21 ↑ (3.9) | 
			   5.41 ↑ (4.7) | 
			   5.3% (7.2%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Zenit - Lokomotiv Moscow?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            5 users predict this event. Zenit will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Lokomotiv will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Zenit (votes: 1 - 100%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 3).
 - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zenit won 1.
 - Zenit has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
 - Lokomotiv is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  - In this match, Zenit is seen as the favorite.
 - There will not play in Zenit: Cassierra M.
(Injury)
 - There will not play in Lokomotiv: Montes C.
(Yellow Cards)
 - There are questionable in Zenit: Moskvichev B.
(Knee Injury)
 - We predict that Zenit will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
 - In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zenit won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:27. (average 1.8:1.4).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Zenit won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:18. (average 2.4:1.5).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Zenit won against Lokomotiv Moscow?
                    
                    
                        
                            Zenit has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Moscow won against Zenit?
                    
                    
                        
                             Lokomotiv Moscow has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Zenit - Lokomotiv Moscow were as follows:
                                                        
                                05.04.2025 
                                Lokomotiv Moscow 
                                - 
                                Zenit 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                27.10.2024 
                                Zenit 
                                - 
                                Lokomotiv Moscow 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                03.12.2023 
                                Lokomotiv Moscow 
                                - 
                                Zenit 
                                3:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                24.09.2023 
                                Zenit 
                                - 
                                Lokomotiv Moscow 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                09.04.2023 
                                Lokomotiv Moscow 
                                - 
                                Zenit 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Krasnodar | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 27:8 | 19 | 32 | 
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 25:13 | 12 | 30 | 
| 3 | Zenit | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 28:11 | 17 | 29 | 
| 4 | Baltika | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 20:6 | 14 | 27 | 
| 5 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 30:19 | 11 | 27 | 
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22:20 | 2 | 22 | 
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 19 | 
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 21:21 | 0 | 17 | 
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:21 | -3 | 16 | 
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 15 | 
| 11 | FK Rostov | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 | 
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8:16 | -8 | 14 | 
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 13 | 
| 14 | Orenburg | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 11 | 
| 15 | Sochi | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12:33 | -21 | 8 | 
| 16 | Pari NN | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9:25 | -16 | 7 | 
      Premier League (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ FNL