Result
1:1
01/05/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 28
- Referee: Kukulyak E. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (325/419) | 78% (330/421) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 44 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (325/419) | 78% (330/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (15/52) | 55% (34/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (85/137) | 61% (60/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 2.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | 1.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', Montes C. ↓, Nyamsi G. ↑,
- 24', 0 - 1, Marichal N. ⚽, Bitello (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Arthur Gomes ↓, Moumi Ngamaleu N. ↑,
- 46', Pinyaev S. ↓, Bakaev Z. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 1, Karpukas A. ⚽, Batrakov A. (A),
- 57', Majstorovic M. ↓, Skopintsev D. ↑,
- 58', Vorobyev D. ↓, Komlichenko N. ↑,
- 63', Chavez L. ↓, Glebov D. ↑,
- 70', Nyamsi G. 🟨,
- 73', Rudenko A. ↓, Saltykov N. ↑,
- 73', Prutsev D. ↓, Vera L. ↑,
- 74', Caceres J. ↓, David Ricardo ↑,
- 74', Bitello ↓, Sergeev I. ↑,
- 77', Skopintsev D. 🟨,
- 90+3', David Ricardo 🟨,
- 90+3', Batrakov A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lokomotiv Moscow
44.6% | Draw
25.6% | Dynamo Moscow
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Dynamo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Lokomotiv Moscow - Dynamo Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↓
(2.16) |
3.72 ↑
(3.6) |
3.18 ↑
(2.86) |
5.3%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Moscow - Dynamo Moscow?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Dynamo M will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Lokomotiv could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Dynamo M: Zaynutdinov B.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:33. (average 1.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Moscow won against Dynamo Moscow?
Lokomotiv Moscow has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Moscow won against Lokomotiv Moscow?
Dynamo Moscow has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Moscow - Dynamo Moscow were as follows:
04.10.2025
Dynamo Moscow
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
3:5
15.03.2025
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Dynamo Moscow
2:1
28.11.2024
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Dynamo Moscow
0:2
05.11.2024
Dynamo Moscow
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
1:2
27.07.2024
Dynamo Moscow
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
3:1
Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow
Latest results of Dynamo Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 56:21 | 35 | 63 |
| 2 | Zenit | 28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 50:18 | 32 | 62 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 52:36 | 16 | 50 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Baltika | 28 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 37:18 | 19 | 46 |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 39:31 | 8 | 45 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 26:26 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 22:30 | -8 | 30 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 31:48 | -17 | 29 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 33:46 | -13 | 27 |
| 13 | Orenburg | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 26 |
| 14 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 18:36 | -18 | 24 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 23:46 | -23 | 22 |
| 16 | Sochi | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 27:57 | -30 | 21 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
