Result
12/04/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Zwolle
43.9% | Draw
25.2% | Excelsior
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zwolle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Zwolle - Excelsior Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(2.06) |
3.77 ↑
(3.52) |
3.07 ↓
(3.28) |
5.6%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Zwolle - Excelsior?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Zwolle will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 3.
- Zwolle has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Excelsior is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Excelsior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Zwolle is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:14. (average 2.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zwolle won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 2.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Zwolle won against Excelsior?
Zwolle has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against Zwolle?
Excelsior has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zwolle - Excelsior were as follows:
20.12.2025
Excelsior
-
Zwolle
2:1
06.04.2024
Zwolle
-
Excelsior
2:1
22.10.2023
Excelsior
-
Zwolle
2:4
Latest results of Excelsior
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 29 | 23 | 2 | 4 | 82:40 | 42 | 71 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 61:40 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 71:47 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Twente | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 51:32 | 19 | 53 |
| 5 | Ajax | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 54:37 | 17 | 48 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 49:45 | 4 | 45 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 53:47 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 35:47 | -12 | 42 |
| 9 | Utrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 45:35 | 10 | 41 |
| 10 | Groningen | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 42:37 | 5 | 41 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 50:45 | 5 | 35 |
| 12 | Sittard | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 43:54 | -11 | 35 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 38:58 | -20 | 33 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31:50 | -19 | 28 |
| 15 | Telstar | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 38:48 | -10 | 27 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 29:49 | -20 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 29:50 | -21 | 24 |
| 18 | Heracles | 29 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 34:74 | -40 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
