Result
3:4
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 28
- Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, Supersport Action |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Bangladesh | Toffee Live |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM, FuboTV |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport 8, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Europe | Go3 Extra Sports Baltic |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 9 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany |
 Greece | Nova Sports Start |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 3 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport 4 |
 India | Disney+ Hotstar |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport MIX |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Malaysia | Astro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Canal+ Action, Canal+, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 8 |
 Mexico | HBO Max |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 1 |
 Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
 Nepal | Kantipur Max |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 7 |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Action |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 2 |
 Pakistan | ARY ZAP |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | Setanta Sports |
 Poland | Canal+ Extra 5 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Singapore | Hub Premier 4 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Action |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN 3, DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX |
 Ukraine | Pershiy |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | FPT Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.94 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (254/321) | 81% (367/451) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 2.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 44 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (254/321) | 81% (367/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (20/55) | 45% (27/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (71/101) | 64% (70/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.75 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.58 | 1.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.42 | -0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 9', 0 - 1, Damsgaard M. ⚽, Ouattara Da. (A),
- 25', 0 - 2, Thiago I. ⚽, Damsgaard M. (A),
- 34', 0 - 3, Schade K. ⚽,
- 45+3', 1 - 3, Kayode M. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Bruun Larsen J. ↓, Foster L. ↑,
- 46', Laurent J. ↓, Ugochukwu L. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 3, Anthony J. ⚽, Mejbri H. (A),
- 60', 3 - 3, Flemming Z. ⚽, Mejbri H. (A),
- 72', Ouattara Da. ↓, Donovan R. ↑,
- 72', Schade K. ↓, Lewis-Potter K. ↑,
- 73', Yarmolyuk Y. ↓, Henderson J. ↑,
- 75', Ward-Prowse J. ↓, Florentino ↑,
- 77', Thiago I. 🟨,
- 84', Mejbri H. ↓, Tchaouna L. ↑,
- 86', Humphreys B. 🟨,
- 90+1', Flemming Z. ↓, Barnes A. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 4, Damsgaard M. ⚽, Henry R. (A),
- 90+10', Yarmolyuk Y. 🟨,
- 90+11', Foster L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Burnley
21.9% | Draw
24.7% | Brentford
53.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Burnley - Brentford Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.37 ↑
(4.18) |
3.87 ↓
(3.91) |
1.8 ↓
(1.83) |
4.5%
(4.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Burnley - Brentford?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Burnley (1.39) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Brentford (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Brentford will win
(51 of 63 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.25% – 90.65%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brentford will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Burnley (votes: 3 - 12%). Brentford (votes: 21 - 84%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 2.
- Burnley has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Brentford is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Brentford is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z.
(Knee Injury)
Beyer J.
(Thigh Injury)
Broja A.
(Injury)
Cullen J.
(Knee Injury)
Roberts C.
(Groin Injury)
Tresor Ndayishimiye M.
(Ankle Injury)
Tuanzebe A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Brentford: Carvalho F.
(Knee Injury)
Dasilva J.
(Knee Injury)
Milambo A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Brentford: Hickey A.
(Injury)
Kayode M.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Burnley won against Brentford?
Burnley has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brentford won against Burnley?
Brentford has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Brentford were as follows:
29.11.2025
Brentford
-
Burnley
3:1
16.03.2024
Burnley
-
Brentford
2:1
21.10.2023
Brentford
-
Burnley
3:0
Latest results of Burnley
Latest results of Brentford
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal ✔ | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 67:26 | 41 | 76 |
| 2 | Manchester City ✔ | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 66:29 | 37 | 70 |
| 3 | Manchester Utd ✔ | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 63:48 | 15 | 64 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 59:47 | 12 | 58 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 48:44 | 4 | 58 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 35 | 12 | 16 | 7 | 55:52 | 3 | 52 |
| 7 | Brentford | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 8 | Brighton | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 49:42 | 7 | 50 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53:45 | 8 | 48 |
| 10 | Fulham | 35 | 14 | 6 | 15 | 44:49 | -5 | 48 |
| 11 | Everton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:41 | 0 | 47 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 49:51 | -2 | 45 |
| 14 | Leeds | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 43 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 36:42 | -6 | 43 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 41:45 | -4 | 39 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 45:54 | -9 | 37 |
| 18 | West Ham | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 42:61 | -19 | 36 |
| 19 | Burnley ✔ | 35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 35:71 | -36 | 20 |
| 20 | Wolves ✔ | 35 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 25:63 | -38 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Championship
Clinched Spots for Teams
Arsenal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Manchester City is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Manchester Utd is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Burnley is Relegated to Championship
Wolves is Relegated to Championship
