Stal Mielec vs Raków Częstochowa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa
Result
0:2
03/05/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 31
  • Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.720.97
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
515
Shots on target
18
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
111
Passes
71% (229/324)84% (384/459)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.720.97
xG on target (xGOT)
0.261.30
Total shots
515
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
06
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
111
Touches in opposition box
1023
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
105
Passes
71% (229/324)84% (384/459)
Long passes
31% (16/51)50% (24/48)
Passes in final third
52% (33/64)72% (91/127)
Crosses
36% (4/11)36% (10/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.68
Throw-ins
1619
Fouls
510
Tackles
81% (13/16)67% (6/9)
Duels won
4129
Clearances
1717
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
1.300.26
Goals prevented
-0.700.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 65', Gerbowski F. ↓, Domanski M. ↑,
  • 65', Kadzior D. ↓, Krykun S. ↑,
  • 66', Diaz J. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
  • 66', Mosor A. ↓, Barath P. ↑,
  • 73', 0 - 1, Barath P. ⚽,
  • 76', Silva J. ↓, Rodin M. ↑,
  • 77', Wolsztynski L. ↓, Beauguel J. ↑,
  • 77', Knap K. ↓, Hannola P. ↑,
  • 82', 0 - 2, Brunes J. ⚽, Lopez I. (A),
  • 85', Brunes J. ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
  • 85', Kochergin V. ↓, Lederman B. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Stal Mielec
20.3%		Draw
24.8%		Raków Częstochowa
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.7% 24.9% 53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2% 24.4% 54.6%

Stal Mielec - Raków Częstochowa Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 4.65 ↑
(4.3)		 3.78 ↑
(3.75)		 1.71 ↓
(1.75)		 6.3%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - Raków Częstochowa?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Raków will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 29.6% – 90.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1 - Raków (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Raków (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Raków Częstochowa will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Raków (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 0.
    • Recent form of Stal Mielec has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Raków is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Raków may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Raków is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Raków: Ameyaw M. (Muscle Injury) Otieno E. (Red Card) Racovitan B. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Stal Mielec 1:0
    24.02.2024 Stal Mielec - Raków Częstochowa 0:0
    19.08.2023 Raków Częstochowa - Stal Mielec 2:0
    10.02.2023 Stal Mielec - Raków Częstochowa 0:0
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    28.04.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Stal Mielec 2:2 ✺
    22.04.2025 Stal Mielec - Górnik Zabrze 0:0 ✺
    14.04.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Stal Mielec 3:2 ✺
    04.04.2025 Stal Mielec - Cracovia 1:1 ✺
    30.03.2025 Motor Lublin - Stal Mielec 4:1 ✺
    Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
    25.04.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Śląsk Wrocław 3:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa 1:0 ✺
    12.04.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Radomiak Radom 2:1 ✺
    07.04.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Raków Częstochowa 1:1 ✺
    31.03.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Raków Częstochowa 0:2 ✺
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock1989223:131033
    2Gornik Zabrze19103631:25633
    3Jagiellonia1895432:221032
    4Cracovia1986526:21530
    5Rakow1992827:25229
    6Zaglebie1977531:26528
    7Korona Kielce1976623:20327
    8Radomiak Radom1875635:30526
    9Lech Poznan1968530:30026
    10Motor Lublin1959525:29-424
    11Lechia Gdansk1984740:38223
    12Piast Gliwice1965821:21023
    13GKS Katowice1872925:28-323
    14Pogon Szczecin19631029:34-521
    15Arka Gdynia1863915:32-1721
    16Widzew Lodz19621127:31-420
    17Legia1947820:23-319
    18Termalica B-B19541024:36-1219

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

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