Result
0:1
20/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- efbet League - Round 12
- Referee: Mitrev V. (Bul)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, Fourrier B. (Pen),
- 45+5', Popov I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Karagaren B. ↓, Kabov A. ↑,
- 56', Velkovski D. 🟨,
- 61', Baurenski Y. ↓, Stoichkov S. ↑,
- 61', Stamatov M. ↓, Vasilev S. ↑,
- 68', Idowu D. ↓, Yusein S. ↑,
- 68', Patrick Luan ↓, Nikolov G. ↑,
- 78', Parra M. ↓, Ozornwafor V. ↑,
- 78', Serber K. ↓, Ivanov G. ↑,
- 79', Shinyashiki A. ↓, Tilev I. ↑,
- 86', Fontaine N. 🟨,
- 86', Kabov A. 🟨,
- 86', Fontaine N. 🟨,
- 88', Georgiev Y. 🟨,
- 90+7', Onasci K. ↓, Tomovski B. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/tykxz4un
Chances of winning
Arda Kardzhali
63.9% | Draw
22.8% | Septemvri Sofia
13.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arda Kardzhali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Arda Kardzhali - Septemvri Sofia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↑
(1.43) |
4.08 ↓
(4.18) |
6.83 ↓
(7) |
6.7%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali - Septemvri Sofia?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Arda will win (votes: 12 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arda: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Arda (votes: 1 - 50%). Septemvri Sofia (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 15 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arda won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Arda is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Arda won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 2:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arda won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Arda Kardzhali won against Septemvri Sofia?
Arda Kardzhali has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Septemvri Sofia won against Arda Kardzhali?
Septemvri Sofia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arda Kardzhali - Septemvri Sofia were as follows:
08.07.2025
Arda Kardzhali
-
Septemvri Sofia
1:2
07.04.2025
Septemvri Sofia
-
Arda Kardzhali
0:4
25.10.2024
Arda Kardzhali
-
Septemvri Sofia
2:1
12.02.2023
Septemvri Sofia
-
Arda Kardzhali
0:1
Latest results of Arda Kardzhali
Latest results of Septemvri Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 52:14 | 38 | 53 |
| 2 | Ludogorets | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 41:17 | 24 | 43 |
| 3 | CSKA Sofia | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 33:17 | 16 | 40 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 33:25 | 8 | 40 |
| 5 | Cherno More | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 26:15 | 11 | 36 |
| 6 | Lok. Plovdiv | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 28 |
| 8 | Arda | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 27 |
| 10 | Lok. Sofia | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 27 |
| 11 | Botev Plovdiv | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 27:33 | -6 | 25 |
| 12 | Spartak Varna | 22 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 21:33 | -12 | 20 |
| 13 | Dobrudzha | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17:29 | -12 | 19 |
| 14 | Beroe | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 17:34 | -17 | 18 |
| 15 | Septemvri Sofia | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 20:44 | -24 | 18 |
| 16 | Montana | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:36 | -22 | 15 |
Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
efbet League (Relegation Group: )
