Urawa Red Diamonds vs Nagoya Grampus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League
Result
2:1
16/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.261.21
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
80% (308/387)77% (297/384)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.261.21
xG on target (xGOT)
1.050.72
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
513
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
1031
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
89
Passes
80% (308/387)77% (297/384)
Long passes
37% (22/60)46% (32/70)
Passes in final third
64% (57/89)62% (77/125)
Crosses
50% (4/8)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.870.99
Throw-ins
2326
Fouls
98
Tackles
78% (7/9)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4341
Clearances
3215
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.721.05
Goals prevented
-0.28-0.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Komori H. ⚽, Matheus Savio (A),
  • 29', Komori H. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
  • 31', Junker K. 🟨,
  • 32', 2 - 0, Matheus Savio ⚽, Kaneko T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 63', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
  • 66', 2 - 1, Hara T. ⚽, Nakayama K. (A),
  • 76', Matsuo Y. ↓, Thiago ↑,
  • 77', Matheus Savio ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
  • 77', Sato Y. ↓, Kawazura A. ↑,
  • 78', Junker K. ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
  • 78', Izumi R. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
  • 81', Nakayama K. ↓, Tokumoto S. ↑,
  • 88', Kaneko T. ↓, Haraguchi G. ↑,
  • 89', Gustafson S. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
  • 90+6', Danilo Boza 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Urawa Red Diamonds
49%		Draw
28.3%		Nagoya Grampus
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 25.9% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 24.8% 26.3%

Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.96 ↓
(1.98)		 3.45 ↓
(3.56)		 4.38 ↑
(3.36)		 3%
(8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Urawa (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Urawa Red Diamonds will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 3.
    • Urawa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nagoya has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Urawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Urawa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Nagoya: Kikuchi T. (Knee Injury) Mateus (Ankle Injury) Morishima T. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Urawa: Watanabe R. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 1.8:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1
    26.06.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:1
    28.04.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus 2:1
    18.08.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus 1:0
    02.08.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds 3:0
    Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds
    09.08.2025 Yokohama FC - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:2 ✺
    06.08.2025 Montedio Yamagata - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:2 ✺
    27.07.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka 0:0 ✺
    23.07.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Shonan Bellmare 4:1 ✺
    19.07.2025 Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds 3:2 ✺
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    13.08.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Nagoya Grampus 1:2 ✺
    10.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga 1:2 ✺
    20.07.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus 3:0 ✺
    16.07.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Roasso Kumamoto 2:1
    05.07.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo Verdy 0:0 ✺
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers ✔ 36217855:302570
    2Kashiwa Reysol361912556:332369
    3Vissel Kobe36189946:311563
    4Kyoto361711859:401962
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima361881042:261662
    6Kawasaki Frontale361512966:511557
    7Machida361691149:361357
    8Gamba Osaka361661449:53-454
    9Urawa Reds3614111140:39153
    10Cerezo Osaka3614101258:51752
    11FC Tokyo361391440:47-748
    12Avispa Fukuoka3611121333:37-445
    13Shimizu S-Pulse3611111440:48-844
    14Verdy3611101522:36-1443
    15Okayama361191632:41-942
    16Yokohama F. Marinos361171842:44-240
    17Nagoya Grampus3610101642:53-1140
    18Yokohama FC ✔ 36882024:43-1932
    19Shonan Bellmare ✔ 36782134:61-2729
    20Albirex Niigata ✔ 364112134:63-2923

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Kashima Antlers is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
    Yokohama FC is Relegated to J2 League
    Shonan Bellmare is Relegated to J2 League
    Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League
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