Result
2:2
10/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 11
- Referee: Norton P. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 0.97 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (358/487) | 59% (152/259) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.28 | 1.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (358/487) | 59% (152/259) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (57/126) | 29% (20/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (131/200) | 47% (30/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (7/36) | 0% (0/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.55 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 48 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 2 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 61% (17/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 60 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.60 | 3.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | 1.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 14', 0 - 1, Clarke J. ⚽, Doherty B. (A),
- 35', 1 - 1, Wilson T. ⚽, McDaid D. (A),
- 37', O'Reilly A. 🟨,
- 45', Burns B. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Akinyemi D. ⚽, Doherty B. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Winchester C. 🟨,
- 55', Slevin R. ↓, Dummigan C. ↑,
- 60', Buckley K. ↓, Teahan R. ↑,
- 60', Groome H. ↓, Tracey S. ↑,
- 60', Burns B. ↓, Dervin A. ↑,
- 61', Clarke J. ↓, Olayinka J. ↑,
- 61', O'Reilly A. ↓, McClean J. ↑,
- 62', Beach E. 🟨,
- 64', Doherty B. 🟨,
- 70', Akinyemi D. 🟨,
- 73', Akinyemi D. ↓, Santos K. ↑,
- 73', Cotter B. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
- 75', Stott J. 🟨,
- 76', Warren H. 🟨,
- 79', 2 - 2, Teahan R. ⚽, Wilson T. (A),
- 83', Thomas J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Dervin A. 🟨,
- 90+2', McClean J. 🟨,
- 90+5', McClean J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dundalk
37.5% | Draw
28.9% | Derry City
33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dundalk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)The chances for Derry City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundalk than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Dundalk - Derry City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(2.42) |
3.21 ↓
(3.47) |
2.77 ↓
(2.81) |
7.2%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Dundalk - Derry City?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Dundalk will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundalk won 0.
- Dundalk has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Derry is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Dundalk: Cornwall R.
(Calf Injury)
Garbett N.
(Hamstring Injury)
Gaxha L.
(Inactive)
Horgan D.
(Red Card)
Leonard V.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Derry: Boyce L.
(Inactive)
Maher B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Dundalk: Kearns C.
(Knee Injury)
Mullen D.
(Inactive)
O'Keeffe C.
(Injury)
Teahan R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Derry: Whyte G.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dundalk won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:27. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dundalk won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Dundalk won against Derry City?
Dundalk has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derry City won against Dundalk?
Derry City has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dundalk - Derry City were as follows:
13.02.2026
Derry City
-
Dundalk
2:2
18.10.2024
Dundalk
-
Derry City
0:2
09.08.2024
Derry City
-
Dundalk
1:1
31.05.2024
Dundalk
-
Derry City
0:0
05.04.2024
Derry City
-
Dundalk
4:1
Latest results of Dundalk
Latest results of Derry City
Irish Premier Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | St. Patricks | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 20:15 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Galway | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Derry City | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Drogheda | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6:17 | -11 | 8 |
| 10 | Waterford | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
