Result
1:1
20/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV, Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two |
 United-kingdom | Virgin TV Go app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.38 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (344/455) | 63% (193/307) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (344/455) | 63% (193/307) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (26/67) | 30% (26/86) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (71/98) | 50% (60/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 27% (8/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.06 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 72% (18/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.14 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Hickey P. ⚽, Strods M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', Animasahun M. ↓, Spaight S. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 1, Chorazka K. (Own goal),
- 60', Strods M. ↓, McDonnell A. ↑,
- 60', Myers Z. ↓, Parsons C. ↑,
- 65', Buckley K. 🟨,
- 67', Groome H. ↓, McDaid D. ↑,
- 74', Mullen S. ↓, Vaughan H. ↑,
- 86', Whelan C. ↓, Martin H. ↑,
- 90+3', Vaughan H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bohemians Dublin
60.2% | Draw
23.6% | Dundalk
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bohemians Dublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bohemians Dublin's performance.Dundalk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dundalk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bohemians Dublin than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bohemians Dublin that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundalk than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dundalk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bohemians Dublin - Dundalk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.8) |
3.98 ↑
(3.74) |
5.71 ↑
(4.24) |
6.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bohemians Dublin - Dundalk?
Users Predictions:
Bohemians Dublin will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bohemians Dublin will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bohemians won 2.
- Bohemians is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Dundalk's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Bohemians is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Bohemians: James-Taylor D.
(Inactive)
Rooney D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Dundalk: Dervin A.
(Red Card)
Garbett N.
(Inactive)
Gaxha L.
(Knee Injury)
Kearns C.
(Inactive)
Mulligan L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Dundalk: Leonard V.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Bohemians will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bohemians won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:28. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bohemians won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Bohemians Dublin won against Dundalk?
Bohemians Dublin has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dundalk won against Bohemians Dublin?
Dundalk has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bohemians Dublin - Dundalk were as follows:
27.09.2024
Dundalk
-
Bohemians Dublin
0:2
26.07.2024
Bohemians Dublin
-
Dundalk
1:1
26.04.2024
Dundalk
-
Bohemians Dublin
2:0
15.04.2024
Bohemians Dublin
-
Dundalk
1:0
27.10.2023
Dundalk
-
Bohemians Dublin
2:0
Latest results of Bohemians Dublin
Latest results of Dundalk
Irish Premier Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | St. Patricks | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24:11 | 13 | 26 |
| 2 | Shamrock Rovers | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Dundalk | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 22:18 | 4 | 21 |
| 4 | Bohemians | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Derry City | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 17 |
| 6 | Galway | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 |
| 7 | Sligo Rovers | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10:17 | -7 | 14 |
| 8 | Shelbourne | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 19:21 | -2 | 13 |
| 9 | Drogheda | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 13 |
| 10 | Waterford | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9:24 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
