Result
0:3
20/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 17
- Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (275/353) | 83% (413/500) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 2.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (275/353) | 83% (413/500) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (21/60) | 37% (22/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (53/86) | 71% (86/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 33% (4/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.97 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Vente D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 55', 0 - 1, Trenskow J. ⚽, Vente D. (A),
- 62', Kulenovic L. ↓, van Gilst T. ↑,
- 63', Meerveld R. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
- 67', te Wierik M. 🟨,
- 73', Bruns T. ↓, Zamburek J. ↑,
- 77', 0 - 2, Zagaritis V. ⚽, Rivera M. (A),
- 79', Zagaritis V. ↓, Petrov H. ↑,
- 86', Kersten S. ↓, Sejk V. ↑,
- 86', Vente D. ↓, Hopland N. ↑,
- 87', Trenskow J. ↓, van Axel Dongen A. ↑,
- 90+5', 0 - 3, Rivera M. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Heracles Almelo
27.5% | Draw
25.3% | Heerenveen
47.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Heerenveen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Heracles Almelo - Heerenveen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.43 ↑
(3.08) |
3.75 ↑
(3.65) |
2.01 ↓
(2.14) |
5.5%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Heracles Almelo - Heerenveen?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Heracles will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Heerenveen will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heerenveen: 42% – 87.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Heerenveen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Heerenveen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Heracles: Mesik I.
(Yellow Cards)
Reine-Adelaide J.
(Knee Injury)
Scheperman S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Smans L.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:34. (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heracles won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.4:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against Heerenveen?
Heracles Almelo has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against Heracles Almelo?
Heerenveen has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heracles Almelo - Heerenveen were as follows:
15.03.2025
Heerenveen
-
Heracles Almelo
1:1
27.09.2024
Heracles Almelo
-
Heerenveen
2:1
14.04.2024
Heracles Almelo
-
Heerenveen
0:2
28.10.2023
Heerenveen
-
Heracles Almelo
3:0
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Latest results of Heerenveen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 73:30 | 43 | 65 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 48 |
| 3 | Ajax | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Nijmegen | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 61:43 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Twente | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 41:26 | 15 | 41 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 42:40 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 32:42 | -10 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 34 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 42:43 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Sittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 39:45 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | Groningen | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 38:39 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 28 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 27 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26:42 | -16 | 26 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 25:39 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 31:41 | -10 | 21 |
| 18 | Heracles | 25 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 32:65 | -33 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
