Result
1:1
14/06/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (538/645) | 68% (187/273) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (538/645) | 68% (187/273) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (15/44) | 34% (16/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (122/174) | 59% (68/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (5/28) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 71% (20/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Higashi S. ⚽, Nakamura S. (A),
- 45+3', Germain R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Misao K. 🟨,
- 59', Kinoshita K. 🟨,
- 68', Funabashi Y. ↓, Higuchi Y. ↑,
- 68', Matsumura Y. ↓, Nono K. ↑,
- 70', Maeda N. ↓, Germain V. ↑,
- 73', Nakamura S. ↓, Arai N. ↑,
- 80', Mizoguchi S. ↓, Ogawa R. ↑,
- 80', Misao K. ↓, Shibasaki G. ↑,
- 80', Koike R. ↓, Talles Brener ↑,
- 83', Leo Ceara 🟨,
- 87', Germain R. ↓, Koshimichi S. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, Leo Ceara ⚽,
Chances of winning
Kashima Antlers
29.9% | Draw
28.6% | Sanfrecce Hiroshima
41.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Kashima Antlers - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.15 ↓
(3.46) |
3.28 ↓
(3.3) |
2.25 ↑
(2.12) |
6.7%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kashima Antlers - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 39.2% – 89.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Kashima (votes: 2 - 50%). Hiroshima (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 1.
- Kashima is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Hiroshima has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Hiroshima could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Kashima: Morooka S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Sekigawa I.
(Knee Injury)
Shimoda Y.
(Foot Injury)
Tokuda H.
(Broken ankle)
- There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T.
(Knee Injury)
Nakajima Y.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kashima won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Kashima Antlers has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Kashima Antlers?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kashima Antlers - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
02.04.2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Kashima Antlers
1:0
14.09.2024
Kashima Antlers
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2:2
15.05.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Kashima Antlers
1:3
08.07.2023
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Kashima Antlers
1:1
01.04.2023
Kashima Antlers
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:2
Latest results of Kashima Antlers
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 55 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 55 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 54 |
| 5 | Machida | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 46:32 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 35:21 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 53:38 | 15 | 48 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 39:31 | 8 | 47 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 43 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 46:41 | 5 | 42 |
| 11 | Okayama | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 26:29 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 37 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 36 |
| 14 | FC Tokyo | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 31:42 | -11 | 34 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
| 16 | Verdy | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 16:29 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 26:38 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Shonan Bellmare | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 26:50 | -24 | 25 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:36 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 29 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 27:49 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
