Result
1:1
10/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 26
- Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.97 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (319/437) | 59% (156/264) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (319/437) | 59% (156/264) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (24/68) | 35% (29/84) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (109/167) | 55% (73/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (6/34) | 16% (4/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.60 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 76 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 58 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Jameson K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Jameson K. ↓, Burrell W. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 0, Agius C. ⚽, Billington L. (A),
- 65', Bennett M. ↓, Muldoon J. ↑,
- 67', March J. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
- 75', Holicek M. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
- 82', McCoulsky S. ↓, Cursons T. ↑,
- 84', O'Reilly T. ↓, Finney C. ↑,
- 90+1', Lawlor I. 🟨,
- 90+3', Thibaut A. 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Cursons T. ⚽, Smith R. (A),
Chances of winning
Crewe Alexandra
61.4% | Draw
22.5% | Harrogate Town
16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crewe Alexandra's performance.Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crewe Alexandra that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Crewe Alexandra - Harrogate Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.69) |
4.15 ↑
(3.61) |
5.77 ↑
(4.52) |
7.4%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Harrogate Town?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Crewe (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Crewe Alexandra will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 3.
- Crewe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Harrogate has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Crewe is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
- There will not play in Harrogate: Duke-McKenna S.
(Injury)
Faulkner B.
(Inactive)
Gibson L.
(Injury)
Hill T.
(Injury)
Taylor E.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Crewe: Lankester J.
(Knee Injury)
Tezgel E.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: Bradbury T.
(Injury)
Sutton L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 1.6:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 1.8:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Harrogate Town?
Crewe Alexandra has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Crewe Alexandra?
Harrogate Town has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Harrogate Town were as follows:
06.10.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Crewe Alexandra
1:2
01.02.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Crewe Alexandra
1:1
08.10.2024
Crewe Alexandra
-
Harrogate Town
1:0
21.09.2024
Crewe Alexandra
-
Harrogate Town
3:0
17.02.2024
Crewe Alexandra
-
Harrogate Town
0:0
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
Latest results of Harrogate Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 69 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 35 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 55:44 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Salford | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 11 | Walsall | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:37 | 5 | 53 |
| 12 | Colchester | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:38 | 10 | 49 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:42 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Oldham | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 15 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 47:62 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Newport | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 35:61 | -26 | 28 |
| 23 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
