Birmingham City vs Southampton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship
Result
1:1
29/12/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 24
  • Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
irelandIrelandNOW
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 3
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports
portugalPortugalSport TV3
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event
turkeyTurkeyExxen
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports UHD
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.631.10
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
81% (281/346)87% (496/568)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.631.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.841.40
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
103
Blocked Shots
65
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
94
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
2815
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
159
Passes
81% (281/346)87% (496/568)
Long passes
30% (16/54)41% (22/54)
Passes in final third
61% (62/102)77% (117/152)
Crosses
42% (5/12)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.910.74
Throw-ins
1423
Fouls
915
Tackles
92% (12/13)91% (10/11)
Duels won
4631
Clearances
1214
Interceptions
82
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.400.84
Goals prevented
0.40-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Wood N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', Jander C. 🟨,
  • 49', 1 - 0, Neumann P. ⚽, Robinson J. (A),
  • 58', Robinson J. ↓, Scienza L. ↑,
  • 58', Fellows T. ↓, Jelert E. ↑,
  • 68', Jander C. ↓, Bragg C. ↑,
  • 68', Armstrong A. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
  • 68', Stansfield J. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
  • 69', Furuhashi K. ↓, Ducksch M. ↑,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Archer C. ⚽, Jelert E. (A),
  • 73', Neumann P. 🟨,
  • 76', Davies C. 🟨,
  • 77', Davies C. 🟨,
  • 82', Roberts P. ↓, Leonard M. ↑,
  • 83', Azaz F. ↓, Matsuki K. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Birmingham City
41.4%		Draw
26.4%		Southampton
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 27.8% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 27.8% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
    •

    Birmingham City - Southampton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.29 ↑
    (2.22)    		 3.58 ↑
    (3.38)    		 2.92 ↓
    (3.13)    		 5.9%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Southampton?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 7 - 35%). S`hampton will win (votes: 10 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 28.1% – 71.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 1 - 16.7%). S`hampton (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - S`hampton (2.12) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - S`hampton (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 1 - 11.1%). S`hampton (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 12).
    • Birmingham is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • S`hampton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Klarer C. (Red Card) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury) Osayi-Samuel B. (International duty) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in S`hampton: Charles S. (Hamstring Injury) Downs D. (Knock) Edozie S. (Hamstring Injury) Roerslev Rasmussen M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Birmingham: Gray D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in S`hampton: Jelert E. (Hip Injury) Stewart R. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1.3:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Southampton were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Southampton - Birmingham City 3:1
    02.03.2024 Birmingham City - Southampton 3:4
    28.10.2023 Southampton - Birmingham City 3:1
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    26.12.2025 Birmingham City - Derby County 1:1 ✺
    20.12.2025 Sheffield United - Birmingham City 3:0 ✺
    13.12.2025 Birmingham City - Charlton Athletic 1:1 ✺
    09.12.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Birmingham City 2:1 ✺
    06.12.2025 Southampton - Birmingham City 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Southampton
    26.12.2025 Oxford United - Southampton 2:1 ✺
    20.12.2025 Southampton - Coventry City 1:1 ✺
    13.12.2025 Norwich City - Southampton 2:1 ✺
    09.12.2025 Southampton - West Bromwich Albion 3:2 ✺
    06.12.2025 Southampton - Birmingham City 3:1 ✺
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry39248781:404180
    2Middlesbrough392011859:372271
    3Ipswich381912767:392869
    4Millwall392091053:44969
    5Hull392061362:57566
    6Southampton3917121063:481563
    7Wrexham3917121060:51963
    8Derby391791356:48860
    9Watford3914141150:46456
    10Norwich391661752:46654
    11Birmingham3914111448:49-153
    12QPR391581655:61-653
    13Preston3913131345:49-452
    14Swansea391571744:49-552
    15Stoke391491646:43351
    16Bristol City391491649:50-151
    17Sheffield Utd391551954:54050
    18Charlton3912121536:46-1048
    19Blackburn3911101836:49-1343
    20West Brom3911101840:54-1443
    21Portsmouth3810101837:54-1740
    22Leicester3911121651:60-939
    23Oxford Utd399121836:51-1539
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 39192924:79-55-6

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
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