Mercedes vs Deportivo Paraguayo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
03/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera C - Qualification - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
13
Total shots
109
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
56
Corner Kicks
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Gatti F. N. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 70', 2 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Mercedes
44.5%
Draw
33.9%
Deportivo Paraguayo
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 30.4% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 28.9% 36.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mercedes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mercedes's performance.
  • Deportivo Paraguayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Paraguayo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mercedes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Paraguayo than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Paraguayo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mercedes - Deportivo Paraguayo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.56)
    2.93
    (2.96)
    4.61
    (2.62)
    0.5%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Mercedes - Deportivo Paraguayo?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Mercedes (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mercedes will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Mercedes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 3.
    • Mercedes has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Deportivo Paraguayo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mercedes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mercedes - Deportivo Paraguayo were as follows:
    26.09.2025 Deportivo Paraguayo - Mercedes 0:0
    10.08.2024 Mercedes - Deportivo Paraguayo 2:1
    08.03.2024 Deportivo Paraguayo - Mercedes 0:1
    20.11.2023 Deportivo Paraguayo - Mercedes 0:2
    05.08.2023 Mercedes - Deportivo Paraguayo 0:2
    Latest results of Mercedes
    Latest results of Deportivo Paraguayo
    Argentinian Primera C Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Berazategui633011:4712
    2Sacachispas640210:6412
    3Estrella Del Sur63219:5411
    4Lugano63129:6310
    5Puerto Nuevo62316:429
    6CSR Espanol622210:648
    7Def. de Cambaceres62228:718
    8Victoriano A62223:218
    9Mercedes62224:408
    10Leandro N. Alem62228:15-78
    11Argentino de Rosario61327:706
    12Justo Jose de Urquiza61323:6-36
    13Juventud Unida S. M61232:6-45
    14Deportivo Paraguayo61143:12-94


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1General Lamadrid73317:5212
    2Yupanqui63216:4211
    3Sportivo Barracas63128:5310
    4Leones de Rosario62314:5-19
    5Deportivo Espanol71516:518
    6Claypole62225:508
    7Central Ballester62136:517
    8Canuelas61416:607
    9Central Cordoba61323:4-16
    10Fenix51312:3-16
    11El Porvenir50505:505
    12Club Lujan61235:7-25
    13Deportivo Muniz60423:6-34
    14Atlas60422:6-44

          Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Torneo Promocional Amateur (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )