Result
3:1
10/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 31
- Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (332/414) | 75% (284/380) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 71% (95/133) | 48% (37/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (10/24) | 18% (2/11) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 67% (14/21) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 32', 1 - 0, Fini S. ⚽, Eijgenraam J. (A),
- 41', 1 - 1, Gravenberch D. ⚽, Burgering B. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 57', Eijgenraam J. 🟨,
- 60', Fini S. ↓, Sanches Fernandes D. ↑,
- 60', Omorowa R. ↓, Bergraaf J. ↑,
- 66', Monzialo K. 🟨,
- 73', Warmerdam D. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
- 73', Tielemans M. ↓, Hatenboer C. ↑,
- 74', Gravenberch D. ↓, Kuijpers D. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 1, van Duinen M. ⚽,
- 80', van Duinen M. 🟨,
- 83', Soomets M. ↓, van Hedel R. ↑,
- 88', Donkor J. ↓, Booth Z. ↑,
- 88', van Leeuwen T. ↓, Acheffay H. ↑,
- 88', Maas S. ↓, Boumassaoudi I. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 1, Sanches Fernandes D. ⚽, Duijvestijn L. (A),
Chances of winning
Excelsior
63.1% | Draw
21.4% | Den Bosch
15.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Den Bosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-14.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Excelsior that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Den Bosch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Excelsior - Den Bosch Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.51) |
4.37 ↑
(4.35) |
6.06 ↑
(5.62) |
6.7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Excelsior - Den Bosch?
Users Predictions:
Excelsior will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 4.
- Recent matches Excelsior is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Den Bosch has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Excelsior is a favorite.
- There will not play in Excelsior: Blomme X.
(Injury)
Hartjes L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Den Bosch: Karlsson Grach S.
(Injury)
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 41:27 (average 2.6:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Excelsior won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 21:11 (average 3.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against Den Bosch?
Excelsior has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Den Bosch won against Excelsior?
Den Bosch has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - Den Bosch were as follows:
22.11.2024
Den Bosch
-
Excelsior
0:3
01.11.2023
Den Bosch
-
Excelsior
1:2
Latest results of Excelsior
Latest results of Den Bosch
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag ✔ | 35 | 27 | 2 | 6 | 82:34 | 48 | 83 |
| 2 | Cambuur ✔ | 35 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 71:43 | 28 | 74 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 68:53 | 15 | 59 |
| 4 | Willem II | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 52:40 | 12 | 59 |
| 5 | Almere City | 35 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 72:57 | 15 | 55 |
| 6 | Jong PSV | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 63:59 | 4 | 53 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 61:53 | 8 | 52 |
| 8 | Roda | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 54:49 | 5 | 51 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 60:60 | 0 | 49 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 45:50 | -5 | 44 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 35 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 49:63 | -14 | 44 |
| 12 | Venlo | 35 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 44:52 | -8 | 41 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 55:65 | -10 | 41 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 60:53 | 7 | 40 |
| 15 | Jong Utrecht | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 52:58 | -6 | 39 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 35 | 11 | 4 | 20 | 59:71 | -12 | 37 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 41:71 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Oss | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 46:61 | -15 | 35 |
| 19 | Helmond | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 40:61 | -21 | 35 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 48:69 | -21 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie
