De Graafschap vs Excelsior – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
07/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 29
  • Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.811.03
Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
714
Shots on Goal
23
Shots off Goal
49
Blocked Shots
12
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
18
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
21
Free Kicks
138
Offsides
13
Fouls
813
Yellow Cards
11
Throw-ins
1821
Touches in the Opposition Box
2220
Passes
76% (313/411)77% (335/437)
Passes in the final third
57% (58/102)60% (72/120)
Crosses
18% (3/17)25% (4/16)
Tackles
71% (12/17)57% (8/14)
Clearances Total
2620
Interceptions
95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Sanches Fernandes D. , Bronkhorst I. (A),
  • 41', 1 - 1, Brittijn P. , Fortes J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Kaak L. , Najah A. ,
  • 46', Niemeijer R. , El Kadiri I. ,
  • 51', Symons K. 🟨,
  • 54', Symons K. , Schoppema L. ,
  • 65', Pierie K. , Warmerdam D. ,
  • 70', Sanches Fernandes D. , Donkor J. ,
  • 70', Omorowa R. 🟨,
  • 71', Omorowa R. , Bergraaf J. ,
  • 73', van de Haar J. , Seuntjens R. ,
  • 73', van der Heide A. , Warmerdam D. ,
  • 80', Fini S. , Martens N. ,
  • 83', 2 - 1, El Kadiri I. , van Gilst T. (A),
  • 86', Eijgenraam J. , van Duinen M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


De Graafschap
40.4%
Draw
25.1%
Excelsior
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 25.2% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 24.8% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • De Graafschap - Excelsior Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.22)
    3.73
    (3.75)
    2.72
    (2.92)
    6.8%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for De Graafschap - Excelsior?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. De Graafschap will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Excelsior will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches De Graafschap won 2.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • De Graafschap will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Excelsior: Blomme X. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in De Graafschap: Wevers S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Excelsior: Hartjes L. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches De Graafschap won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 26:23 (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams De Graafschap won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:9 (average 1.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between De Graafschap - Excelsior were as follows:
    16.08.2024 Excelsior - De Graafschap 3:1
    Latest results of De Graafschap
    Latest results of Excelsior
    02.03.2025 Excelsior - Roda 1:1
    21.02.2025 Telstar - Excelsior 1:3
    16.02.2025 Excelsior - Helmond Sport 1:1
    10.02.2025 Jong Ajax - Excelsior 3:2
    01.02.2025 Excelsior - Vitesse 1:3
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag38292790:375389
    2Cambuur38239675:482778
    3Willem II382081059:421768
    4De Graafschap381891174:581663
    5Almere City381841678:631558
    6Waalwijk3816101271:591258
    7Jong PSV381751666:64256
    8Roda3814131159:54555
    9Den Bosch381491565:69-451
    10Dordrecht3812111548:56-847
    11Eindhoven FC381451951:69-1847
    12Jong Utrecht3812101658:62-446
    13Venlo381361950:58-845
    14FC Emmen381291758:72-1445
    15Vitesse3815111264:55944
    16Oss3811111654:64-1044
    17Jong AZ381242261:76-1540
    18Helmond381091942:62-2039
    19Maastricht389111841:73-3238
    20Jong Ajax38982150:73-2335

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )