Result
0:2
03/04/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Tejeda A. ⚽,
- 45+2', Gomez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Dolmo Y. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
- 46', Gotay P. ↓, Enamorado N. ↑,
- 52', 🟨,
- 56', Martinez D. 🟨,
- 56', Fuentes A. ↓, Felix B. ↑,
- 63', Anderson I. 🟨,
- 64', 0 - 2, Ramirez D. ⚽,
- 66', Reyes D. ↓, Turner B. ↑,
- 71', Gutierrez Y. ↓, Aguilera J. ↑,
- 71', Aguila R. ↓, Castillo I. ↑,
- 74', Lopez I. ↓, Sevilla C. ↑,
- 74', Tejeda A. ↓, Anangono J. ↑,
- 78', Dominguez J. ↓, Delgado E. ↑,
- 81', Vega Orellana A. N. ↓, Martinez Hernandez F. E. ↑,
- 82', Enamorado N. 🟨,
- 89', Castillo I. 🟨,
- 90+3', Enamorado N. 🟨,
- 90+4', Martinez D. 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Real Sociedad Tocoa
26.3% | Draw
29.7% | CD Marathón
44% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Sociedad Tocoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)CD Marathón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad Tocoa than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Real Sociedad Tocoa - CD Marathón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.48 ↑
(3.05) |
3.07 ↓
(3.22) |
2.07 ↓
(2.18) |
9.5%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Real Sociedad Tocoa - CD Marathón?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Marathón will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marathón: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Marathón (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad Tocoa won 0.
- Real Sociedad Tocoa is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Marathón is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Marathón will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad Tocoa won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 11:28 (average 0.7:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Real Sociedad Tocoa won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:9 (average 0.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Sociedad Tocoa won against CD Marathón?
Real Sociedad Tocoa has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CD Marathón won against Real Sociedad Tocoa?
CD Marathón has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Sociedad Tocoa - CD Marathón were as follows:
02.02.2025
CD Marathón
-
Real Sociedad Tocoa
1:1
10.11.2024
Real Sociedad Tocoa
-
CD Marathón
0:0
14.09.2024
CD Marathón
-
Real Sociedad Tocoa
1:1
13.04.2024
Real Sociedad Tocoa
-
CD Marathón
1:2
17.02.2024
CD Marathón
-
Real Sociedad Tocoa
3:1
Latest results of Real Sociedad Tocoa
Latest results of CD Marathón
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 34 |
| 2 | Marathon | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 30:11 | 19 | 30 |
| 3 | Olancho | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28:20 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Real Espana | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | UPNFM | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 |
| 6 | Platense | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:16 | 7 | 19 |
| 7 | Motagua | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23:22 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:25 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Choloma | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 19:38 | -19 | 11 |
| 10 | Genesis | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 10 |
| 11 | Victoria | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )
