Result
2:0
14/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Onofre G. 🟨,
- 24', Onofre G. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 33', Zuniga A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Martinez J. ↓, Vasquez E. ↑,
- 46', Morales M. ↓, Padilla J. ↑,
- 46', Rochez C. ↓, Rochez J. ↑,
- 55', Zuniga A. 🟨,
- 56', Rochez J. 🟨,
- 63', Ramirez D. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
- 64', Fernandez J. ↓, Perez C. ↑,
- 64', Pena K. ↓, Moreira R. ↑,
- 66', Padilla J. 🟥,
- 68', 1 - 0, Castillo I. ⚽,
- 72', Guity E. 🟨,
- 72', Moreira R. 🟨,
- 74', 2 - 0, Messiniti N. ⚽,
- 75', Messiniti N. ↓, Sorto Caballero T. A. ↑,
- 76', Vega Orellana A. N. 🟨,
- 79', Vega Orellana A. N. ↓, Moya B. ↑,
- 79', Castillo I. ↓, Ramos O. ↑,
- 80', Nunez M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
CD Marathón
66.3% | Draw
21% | Lobos UPNFM
12.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CD Marathón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
CD Marathón - Lobos UPNFM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36 ↓
(1.46) |
4.3 ↑
(3.94) |
7.09 ↑
(6.17) |
10.9%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for CD Marathón - Lobos UPNFM?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Marathón (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Marathón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Marathón is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:23. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marathón won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:11. (average 2.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has CD Marathón won against Lobos UPNFM?
CD Marathón has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lobos UPNFM won against CD Marathón?
Lobos UPNFM has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between CD Marathón - Lobos UPNFM were as follows:
25.01.2026
Lobos UPNFM
-
CD Marathón
1:1
04.12.2025
CD Marathón
-
Lobos UPNFM
2:0
18.09.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
CD Marathón
2:2
03.05.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
CD Marathón
0:0
01.03.2025
CD Marathón
-
Lobos UPNFM
3:3
Latest results of CD Marathón
Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana ✔ | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 37:25 | 12 | 40 |
| 2 | Motagua ✔ | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 36:17 | 19 | 39 |
| 3 | Olimpia ✔ | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 35:17 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Olancho | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 28:16 | 12 | 32 |
| 5 | Marathon | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23:19 | 4 | 27 |
| 6 | Genesis | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 20:28 | -8 | 23 |
| 7 | Choloma | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:32 | -9 | 23 |
| 8 | Platense | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
| 9 | UPNFM | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:30 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Juticalpa | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 18:41 | -23 | 18 |
| 11 | Victoria | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 25:40 | -15 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Real Espana is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
Motagua is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
Olimpia is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
