Ayr United vs Queens Park – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Somerset Park (Ayr).

Championship - Round 4
Referee: Beaton J. (Sco)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Ayr United Media

Match Stats


Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
16	10
Shots on target
11	7
Corner Kicks
6	2
Yellow Cards
1	3
Total shots
16	10
Shots on target
11	7
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked Shots
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	2
Goalkeeper Saves
6	10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', MacGregor R. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Fowler J. (Pen),
37', Walker E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fox C. ↓, Fieldson H. ↑,
46', Walker E. ↓, Thomas D. ↑,
52', Fowler J. 🟨,
54', Ure K. ↓, Watret D. ↑,
68', McMann S. ↓, Bonnar J. ↑,
75', McKenzie M. ↓, Bannigan S. ↑,
75', Main C. ↓, McRoberts L. ↑,
78', McDonnell T. ↓, Carrick D. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Shiels M. (Own goal),
85', 🟨,
87', Drozd S. ↓, Sowa J. ↑,

Chances of winning

Ayr United
52.7%

Draw
25.2%

Queens Park
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

21.7%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

20.9%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ayr United's form might have worsened.

Queens Park has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Queens Park's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ayr United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Queens Park, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ayr United - Queens Park Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.5)	3.62 ↓ (4.26)	4.2 ↓ (5.62)	8.4% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 9 in the zone Championship (Relegation))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 2.
Ayr has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Queens Park has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Queens Park may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Ayr has had a series of away games.
In this match, Ayr is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 46:26. (average 2.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Ayr won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:12. (average 2.3:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Ayr United won against Queens Park?

Ayr United has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Queens Park won against Ayr United?

Queens Park has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ayr United - Queens Park were as follows:

26.04.2025 Ayr United - Queens Park 2:2

04.03.2025 Queens Park - Ayr United 2:3

16.11.2024 Ayr United - Queens Park 3:2

21.09.2024 Queens Park - Ayr United 1:1

23.03.2024 Ayr United - Queens Park 1:2

Latest results of Ayr United

23.08.2025 Greenock Morton - Ayr United 2:2 ✺

16.08.2025 Partick Thistle - Ayr United 2:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Ayr United - Raith Rovers 0:1 ✺

01.08.2025 Arbroath - Ayr United 1:1 ✺

27.07.2025 St. Mirren - Ayr United 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Queens Park

23.08.2025 Airdrieonians - Queens Park 1:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Queens Park - Arbroath 1:3 ✺

02.08.2025 Raith Rovers - Queens Park 1:1 ✺

26.07.2025 Queens Park - Cove Rangers 2:1 ✺

22.07.2025 Falkirk - Queens Park 3:1 ✺

Scottish Football Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Johnstone	9	7	2	0	18:5	13	23
2	Partick Thistle	8	5	2	1	14:11	3	17
3	Raith	9	4	2	3	10:8	2	14
4	Arbroath	9	3	3	3	9:16	-7	12
5	Ayr	8	2	5	1	10:8	2	11
6	Morton	9	1	7	1	8:8	0	10
7	Dunfermline	9	2	3	4	10:9	1	9
8	Queen's Park	9	1	5	3	7:10	-3	8
9	Ross County	9	1	4	4	11:14	-3	7
10	Airdrieonians	9	0	3	6	8:16	-8	3

      Promotion ~ Premiership
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
      Championship (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ League One