Ayr United vs Arbroath – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Somerset Park (Ayr).

Championship - Round 33
Referee: Stuart P. (Sco)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Arbroath FC TV, Ayr United Media

Match Stats


Ball possession
54%	46%
Total shots
11	2
Shots on target
7	0
Corner kicks
7	3
Yellow cards
3	2
Total shots
11	2
Shots on target
7	0
Shots off target
4	2
Corner kicks
7	3

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Murphy J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', King L. ↓, Want S. ↑,
62', Beadling T. 🟨,
63', Rus M. 🟨,
64', Enem V. ↓, MacIntyre J. ↑,
64', Beadling T. ↓, Flynn R. ↑,
64', Robinson S. ↓, Reilly G. ↑,
68', Wilkie J. 🟨,
77', 1 - 0, Murphy J. ⚽,
82', Cochrane H. ↓, Mebude D. ↑,
82', Summers B. ↓, McRoberts L. ↑,
87', Bannigan S. 🟨,
90+1', Rus M. ↓, Watret D. ↑,
90+3', Murphy J. ↓, Hislop J. ↑,

Chances of winning

Ayr United
42%

Draw
30.6%

Arbroath
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

28.5%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

27.3%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Arbroath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Ayr United - Arbroath Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.31)	3.05 ↓ (3.28)	3.45 ↑ (3)	6.4% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 2.
Ayr is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Arbroath has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Ayr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Ayr will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ayr won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 1.9:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Ayr United won against Arbroath?

Ayr United has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Arbroath won against Ayr United?

Arbroath has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ayr United - Arbroath were as follows:

03.03.2026 Arbroath - Ayr United 1:1

15.11.2025 Ayr United - Arbroath 1:1

01.08.2025 Arbroath - Ayr United 1:1

19.07.2025 Ayr United - Arbroath 4:0

13.04.2024 Ayr United - Arbroath 5:0

Latest results of Ayr United

07.04.2026 Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic 0:3 ✺

04.04.2026 Ayr United - Partick Thistle 1:1 ✺

27.03.2026 Raith Rovers - Ayr United 3:0 ✺

21.03.2026 Ayr United - Greenock Morton 0:1 ✺

14.03.2026 Queens Park - Ayr United 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Arbroath

04.04.2026 Arbroath - St. Johnstone 2:4 ✺

28.03.2026 Greenock Morton - Arbroath 2:1 ✺

21.03.2026 Arbroath - Queens Park 1:0 ✺

14.03.2026 Airdrieonians - Arbroath 0:0 ✺

07.03.2026 Arbroath - Ross County 0:0 ✺

Scottish Football Championship Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Johnstone ✔	36	22	11	3	67:25	42	77
2	Partick Thistle ✔	36	17	15	4	53:36	17	66
3	Arbroath ✔	36	13	13	10	43:41	2	52
4	Dunfermline ✔	36	14	9	13	52:41	11	51
5	Raith	36	12	9	15	43:42	1	45
6	Queen's Park	36	9	14	13	35:48	-13	41
7	Ayr	36	8	15	13	38:47	-9	39
8	Morton	36	8	14	14	36:52	-16	38
9	Airdrieonians	36	8	12	16	35:49	-14	36
10	Ross County	36	8	10	18	36:57	-21	34

      Promotion ~ Premiership
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
      Championship (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ League One

Clinched Spots for Teams

St Johnstone is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Premiership
Partick Thistle is Qualified for Premiership (Relegation Semi~finals)
Arbroath is Qualified for Premiership (Relegation Quarter~finals)
Dunfermline is Qualified for Premiership (Relegation Quarter~finals)