Queens Park vs Ayr United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The City Stadium (Glasgow).

Championship - Round 29
Referee: Lee R. (Sco)

Match Stats


Ball possession
46%	54%
Total shots
4	8
Shots on target
2	8
Corner kicks
2	5
Yellow cards
2	2
Total shots
4	8
Shots on target
2	8
Shots off target
2	0
Corner kicks
2	5

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Dowds A. ⚽, Turley F. (A),
31', Bannigan S. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Murray E. ⚽,
36', Shiels M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Drozd S. ↓, Todorov N. ↑,
46', Martin S. ↓, Bradley J. ↑,
48', McKenzie M. ↓, Walker E. ↑,
58', Fieldson H. ↓, Lamie R. ↑,
66', Bannigan S. ↓, Summers B. ↑,
70', Ruth M. ↓, McLean R. ↑,
71', Rus M. ↓, Oakley G. ↑,
84', Finney G. 🟨,
88', Smith C. ↓, McLeish L. ↑,
89', Pignatiello C. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Queens Park
31.4%

Draw
30%

Ayr United
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

27.4%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

26.3%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queens Park has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ayr United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ayr United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Queens Park - Ayr United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.43)	3.09 ↓ (3.36)	2.41 ↑ (2.02)	7.7% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Queens Park - Ayr United?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Queens Park won 1.
Queens Park is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Ayr's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Queens Park may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Queens Park won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:42. (average 1.3:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Queens Park won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1.2:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Queens Park won against Ayr United?

Queens Park has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ayr United won against Queens Park?

Ayr United has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Queens Park - Ayr United were as follows:

10.03.2026 Ayr United - Queens Park 1:2

25.10.2025 Queens Park - Ayr United 0:0

30.08.2025 Ayr United - Queens Park 1:1

26.04.2025 Ayr United - Queens Park 2:2

04.03.2025 Queens Park - Ayr United 2:3

Latest results of Queens Park

10.03.2026 Ayr United - Queens Park 1:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Queens Park - Airdrieonians 1:0 ✺

28.02.2026 Dunfermline Athletic - Queens Park 1:0 ✺

24.02.2026 Queens Park - St. Johnstone 1:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Queens Park - Greenock Morton 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Ayr United

10.03.2026 Ayr United - Queens Park 1:2 ✺

03.03.2026 Arbroath - Ayr United 1:1 ✺

28.02.2026 St. Johnstone - Ayr United 3:1 ✺

24.02.2026 Ayr United - Inverness 1:2 ✺

21.02.2026 Ayr United - Ross County 0:0 ✺

Scottish Football Championship Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Johnstone ✔	36	22	11	3	67:25	42	77
2	Partick Thistle ✔	36	17	15	4	53:36	17	66
3	Arbroath ✔	36	13	13	10	43:41	2	52
4	Dunfermline ✔	36	14	9	13	52:41	11	51
5	Raith	36	12	9	15	43:42	1	45
6	Queen's Park	36	9	14	13	35:48	-13	41
7	Ayr	36	8	15	13	38:47	-9	39
8	Morton	36	8	14	14	36:52	-16	38
9	Airdrieonians	36	8	12	16	35:49	-14	36
10	Ross County	36	8	10	18	36:57	-21	34

      Promotion ~ Premiership
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
      Championship (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ League One

Clinched Spots for Teams

St Johnstone is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Premiership
Partick Thistle is Qualified for Premiership (Relegation Semi~finals)
Arbroath is Qualified for Premiership (Relegation Quarter~finals)
Dunfermline is Qualified for Premiership (Relegation Quarter~finals)